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It has been very windy in Central Colorado (Vail, Glenwood etc...., all of the I-70 corridor) for what feels like most of May & June. My theory is that it will stay windy until the snow melts out in the high country. Any truth to this??
Hi Joel. I;ve been told that in an El Nino year one should ski east facing slopes (like Steamboat) earlier in the season because they are likely to soften up earlier, and then ski northern facing slopes later in the season. Any credibility to this view? Thanks, Gene
Hi Joel: In addition to being a skier, I'm also a pilot, and I'm getting ready to fly to Colorado. In looking at the model data on various sites on the net, I've found a "total cloud cover" dataset, but I need a bit more detail for flight-planning. Is there a set of model data that breaks down cloud-cover at various altitudes rather than a composite of the whole atmosphere? If so, do you have link? Thanks for all you do!
Joel: Thanks for hanging with us with your weather reports/forecast. You are the real deal! Was up at AB today (6/20) and folks are still doin' it! I am still interested in your thoughts about those early predictions of an El Nino for 2014/2015. Are they getting more believable? What do you think and especially re number of powder days we can expect? Best, Jonathan
Hey, Joel. I'm doing Ride the Rockies and looking for a forecast. Here's the route Sunday 6/8 Boulder, Nederland, Central City, Empire, Winter Park Monday 6/9 Winter Park, Kremmling, Steamboat Tuesday 6/10 Steamboat, Oak Creek Wednesday 6/11 Steamboat, State Bridge, Avon Thursday 6/12 Avon, Leadville, Breckenridge Friday 6/13 Breckenridge, Georgetown, Idaho Springs, Golden Thanks
I understand that next winter maybe a weak to strong El Nino year. Which mountains in Colorado and Utah are favored in an El Nino year?
I am very interested in your thought about El Nino (if it happpens) and its effects on Colorado skiing. Here is something to chew on: (Reuters) - Unusually warm western Pacific waters linked to global warming may be the paradoxical cause of a bone-chilling winter in parts of the United States this year, a scientific study said on Thursday. The theory contrasts with other experts' views, including that the freeze was simply a freak natural event or that it was linked to a thawing of the Arctic in recent years that sent a blast of cold air south. "People's reaction when they sit under 10 feet of snow is to say 'this cannot be man-made climate change'," said Professor Tim Palmer of Oxford University, who published his research in the journal Science. "But there is a plausible link," he told Reuters. He said a strengthening of trade winds had led to a build-up of warm water in the western tropical Pacific, aggravated in recent years by global warming from man-made emissions of greenhouse gases. Thunderstorms linked to the warmth in turn disrupted the jetstream, high altitude winds which flow in vast meandering loops around the northern hemisphere, and sucked cold air from the Arctic. Detroit, for instance, suffered record snows and the coldest January since 1977. Pinpointing the causes of the U.S. chill, when climate change should make cold winters less likely, would help companies, farmers, city planners or even home owners wondering if they should invest in extra roof insulation. Two other experts were unconvinced by Palmer's study. ARCTIC LINK Jennifer Francis of Rutgers University, who wrote in 2011 that a melting of Arctic ice may cause cold snaps, said the Pacific had a similar pattern of heavy rainfall in 2011-12 but the winter was mild in the United States. "In both cases the jet stream's path was extremely amplified or wavy, which is exactly the sort of behavior we expect to occur more frequently in association with rapid Arctic warming," she told Reuters. She said that the tropics might also be contributing, but that there seemed little evidence of this. Martin Hoerling, of the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Physical Sciences Division, said he reckoned the most plausible explanation of the cold North American winter was a "freak of nature". He said that there was no sign of a link between Pacific sea temperatures and U.S. winters in records from 1948 to 2012. And he also said Francis's Arctic theory "has not been affirmed by subsequent studies by a variety of researchers". So far there is limited understanding of how weather in one part of the world can affect another. Weather experts agree, however, that the El Nino weather phenomenon that mainly cools the eastern Pacific Ocean every few years can cause droughts or downpours on other continents. Palmer told Reuters that his theory, building on a 1980s study he wrote suggesting a link between a chill 1976-77 U.S. winter and a warm Pacific, could be tested because there are signs that an El Nino will form later this year. An El Nino would also cool the western Pacific and that meant a cold U.S. winter was less likely in 2014-15, he said. A U.N. panel of climate scientists says it is at least 95 percent probable that human activities, led by burning fossil fuels, are the main cause of warming since the 1950s, and will cause more heatwaves, floods and rising sea levels. (Reporting by Alister Doyle; editing by David Stamp)
Hi, I am based in New Zealand and planning to make a trip back to the USA / Canada in January 2015 to ski. Do you have historical snowfall data for the following resorts for the the 10/11, 11/12, 12/13 and 13/14 seasons that you could share? Telluride Jackson Hole Grand Targhee Silver Star Revelstoke If data is broken down by month then better still. Hope you can help with data or suggest where I might look to get some data. Thanks.
How's the weather looking for the Iron Horse next Saturday? The ride from Durango to Silverton crosses Coal Bank and Molas Pass on hwy 550. Thanks Skibumcsu
Joel: Re: "Get Ready For One Of The Worst El Niños Ever" http://www.businessinsider.com/el-nino-weather-2014-4 ".....Denver: Colorado Front Range snowstorms are significantly heavier during El Niño autumns and springs, though precipitation as a whole is roughly the same. A National Center for Atmospheric Research analysis shows a 20-inch snowstorm is roughly seven times more likely in an El Niño year than in a La Niña year. Neutral years—neither El Niño nor La Niña—are somewhere in between." I am interested in your thoughts. Jonathan Golden, CO Read more: http://www.slate.com/articles/technology/future_tense/2014/04/el_nino_2014_2015_what_the_weather_pattern_means_for_60_plus_places.html#ixzz31hi91uO0