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- Showers on Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday.
- Dry on Thursday.
- Another round of showers on Friday and Saturday.
- Dry next Sunday the 29th.
Subtle changes in the atmosphere can make for big changes in the weather that you see.
Late last week, my forecast for this week was for dry weather west of the divide with showers along and east of the divide. While this is still generally true, the subtle change in the atmosphere was to push more moisture into the mountains west of the divide. This is translating into some rain and lighting for the mountains west of the divide. Bad for my earlier forecast, but good for the moisture.
Here's the precipitation forecast through Wednesday, showing the heaviest rain east of the divide. Look for hail, gusty winds, and a quick tornado along and east of I-25 on Monday and Tuesday afternoon.
- Mountains will be dry through next week with a low chance for a weak shower on Sunday afternoon.
- The mountains along the divide, eastern foothills, and plains will see a weak shower on Saturday, stronger storms Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday, weaker showers Wednesday, and then will be dry next Thursday and Friday.
No details as the forecast is pretty easy:-) But here's a beautifual satellite image from today showing very few clouds over Colorado with the high peaks still covered in snow.
- Dry Thursday, Friday, Saturday
- Afternoon showers Sunday > Thursday along & east of the divide
- Dry through next week in the mountains west of the divide
Enjoy the perfect weather on Thursday, Friday, and Saturday, the longest day of the year!
From Sunday through Thursday, moisture will hang out over and east of the divide, so look for afternoon showers and storms each day. However, the mountains west of the divide should be dry through most of next week. The map below shows total precipitation from now through next Wednesday, with a distinct line down the middle of Colorado. Rain to the east of that line, and dry to the west.
The most accurate model in the world (the European) is projecting that late June and early July will feature more of the same. Generally dry and warmer over the mountains, and a bit wetter and cooler over the eastern half of Colorado (including the foothills, front range, and eastern plains).
While it would be nice to see more precipitation over the mountains, I'll take this forecast as it would mean no big heat wave for Colorado, and that's a vast improvement over the beginning of the last two summers.
- 9-12 inches of snow in Utah yesterday!
- Chilly tonight in Colorado, but not as cold as earlier forecasts.
- Mostly dry over the mountains this weekend and next week.
- Rain showers over the divide and east from Sunday through next Thursday.
9-12 inches of snow in Utah yesterday!
A cold storm brought snow to Utah on Tuesday, with up to 12 inches reported at Alta. And yes, turns were made (video link). Here are some before and after shots from the storm.
Chilly tonight in Colorado, but not as cold as earlier forecasts
The brunt of the storm that hit Utah will head north to Wyoming and Montana. Colorado will cool down on Wednesday night and the mountains and plains should see some showers on Wednesday afternoon and Wednesday night. However, Colorado will NOT see that much snow. The latest models have decreased the strength of the cold front, so any snow that does fall will likely be above 12,000 feet.
Mostly dry over the mountains this weekend and next week
This Thursday through most of next week should be dry over the mountains west of the divide. There could be a few showers later next week as more moisture creeps over the divide, but overall look for mostly dry conditions. This is good news for outdoor fun, but it would be nice to get more precipitation as we've recored below average precipitation during June.
Rain showers over the divide and east from Sunday through next Thursday
While the western mountains stay dry, afternoon rain showers will hit the divide and the foothills and plains east of the divide from Sunday through next Thursday. Plan your adventures for the first half of the day.
- Cold temperatures Tuesday night and Wednesday night. Might drop below freezing down to 8,000ft.
- Snow possible above 9,000 feet Wednesday afternoon and evening.
- Rainy east of the divide from Sunday through Tuesday.
- Dry and warm west of the divide during the same time.
- Outlook for the end of June and early July
- Amazing pictures and videos of yesterday's double tornado in Nebraska
Cold Temperatures Tuesday & Wednesday night
A strong storm (for June, at least) is spinning over Idaho on Tuesday and will slowly head east during the next 24-36 hours.
This storm will push cold air into the northern 2/3rds of Colorado, and temperatures will likely drop below freezing all the way down 8,000 feet on Tuesday night and Wednesday night. The coldest temperatures of the night are usually recorded at sunrise when the earth has had the most time to cool, so look for a nip in the air both Wednesday and Thursday morning as you wake up in the mountains. If you have sensitive plants, you might want to bring them inside to give them a taste of your warm, civilized, indoor lifestyle!
Snow possible Wednesday afternoon and evening
The Powder Finder has been dormant the last few weeks but is now back in action with a few inches of snow forecast for the northern Rockies over the next 24 hours.
For Colorado, a line of storms will move through the mountains on Wednesday between noon and 6pm, and these showers and storms should produce snow over about 9,000 to 10,000 feet into Wednesday evening. A few of the higher passes from Crested Butte north to Wyoming might get a bit slushy in the evening. Below is the snow accumulation forecast from 4pm Wednesday to 4am Thursday morning.
From Sunday through the middle of next week: wet east of the divide, dry over the mountains
Enjoy the dry weather on Thursday, Friday, and Saturday for the entire state, but things will change beginning on Sunday.
From Sunday through Thursday (June 26th), moisture will move north into Colorado from the Gulf of Mexico and the eastern Pacific. This moisture will bring a high chance of afternoon rain for the mountains along the divide, the foothills east of the divide, and the eastern plains. Expect 1+ inch of precipitation east of the divide and temperatures 10-15 degrees below normal with highs only in the 60s and 70s.
The moisture will be trapped along and east of the divide, so the mountains west of the divide should see little to no rain during this time, with average to above average temperatures.
Outlook for the end of June and early July
Last week the long-range forecasts for the end of June showed very warm weather. However, the models have backed off of this just a bit, still showing the chance of above-normal temperatures, but cooling things off every few days with passing systems sliding by to our north.
Let's hope this model trends continues and we do NOT have a heatwave. However, long-range models are terrible, so looking out beyond 8-10 days is more of a dreamworld than reality.
Amazing pictures and videos of yesterday's double tornado in Nebraska
While the US has seen 35% fewer tornadoes than average this season, a few strong tornadoes hit towns in the upper-midwest yesterday and unfortunately there was substantial damange, loss of life, and numerous injuries.
Remarkably, at one point there were two tornadoes on the ground, at the same time, produced by the same storm. This has been seen before, but is extremely, extremely rare (perhaps twice in 40 years).
I embed some pictures and video below.
Damage as one of the twin tornadoes hits Pilger, ME
Shot I got tonight in Nebraska pic.twitter.com/tnRt5wlMow— Chris Sheen (@Buckhorns) June 15, 2014
Twin tornadoes (video link):
Unsettling video (link) as one of the tornadoes damages Pilger, NE and throws debris into the air. A tornado is an incredible thing to watch, but remember that those floating specs in the air are parts of people's lives being destroyed, which make this difficult to view without a heavy heart.
View individual forecasts
- Arapahoe Basin
- Aspen Highlands
- Aspen Mountain
- Beaver Creek
- Berthoud Pass
- Cameron Pass
- Copper Mountain
- Crested Butte
- Loveland Ski Area
- Purgatory at Durango Mountain Resort
- Rocky Mountain National Park
- Ski Cooper
- Ski Granby Ranch
- Winter Park
- Wolf Creek