Summary:

Fresh snow and more to go… Maybe

 

The clipper that passed through on Sunday brought some fresh powder to Mid Atlantic ski areas. It was powder, as temps dropped into the low 20s and teens.  The weekend snow reports ranged from 1-3 inches across southern PA, but 6-8 inches in western PA and Maryland.  The Poconos didn’t seem to report much.

Details:

Another storm on the way but the question is what will it do. There is good agreement that we will have a strong Nor’easter Wednesday night into Thursday morning. The comparison here shows three potential scenarios and a light adjustment could make a big difference.

NAM: Farthest west is closest and most beneficial to the ski areas, while bringing rain into the I-95 cities.

Canadian: Middle of the road. This depiction brings the most snow to the western suburbs of the cities, but could skimp on the western ski areas. But this looks good for most, even the Poconos. I want to point out that the moisture associated with this type of storm would likely expand farther west than shown here, but still keeping the big stuff east.

GFS: This is the model NWS and many local forecasters use. This attempts to keep a weaker storm farther off the coast That may be why you don’t see much on you local forecasts yet, but I expect that will change as each model run is bringing it closer.

 

Closer Look:

Here is a more detailed view of how these models see the event.  Keep in mind the timing and location will adjust a little. Also, it is too early to call how much. While we have a snow model, it is a rough gauge. Realistic snow amounts can’t  be given until less than 48 hours from an event starting.

This will be another active week, so we have something to lock in on and watch. Check back for more in a bit.

 

Faith-in-the-Flakes*

 

Also keep up to date via

Facebook: Justin Berk, Meteorologist

Twitter @JustinWeather

Instagram: justinweather

 

Kid Weather App

If you have a kid who loves the weather, check out my Kid Weather App that I made with my oldest son. It’s won a Parents Choice Award, been featured many times by iTunes, and even on Mashable’s Top 10 Apps to get kids interested in science. We are available for Apple and Android devices.