We saw some light showers Monday and we have a chance of scattered showers again this afternoon.  

Then Wednesday a low slowly moves inland to our South and sits over NV into the weekend.  That should bring enough moisture and instability to the atmosphere for showers and thunderstorms everyday Wednesday through Sunday.  

Temperatures through the period will be in the 50's at lake level and 40's on the mountains.  The latest trend has the low moving through even further South, so the snow levels may stay around 9000 feet through the period.  It is possible they dip lower Thursday as the low moves by to the South, or with some heavier cells of precipitation.  

The forecast models have backed off a little this morning with total precip amounts, but the GFS still has over 2 inches of liquid possible through Sunday.  

The European and Canadian models show less precip and the NAM has cells of heavier precip.  Overall it will be hard to pinpoint where the heaviest rain and snow falls.  We will have to watch each day as the cells develop to see where they sit.  We will also have to watch how low they can drag snow levels.  Above 9000 feet we could see over a foot of heavy wet snow through the period, with some accumulations down to 8000 feet.

The low kicks East and we start to clear out by Monday.  High pressure should keep us mild and dry next week.  

The long-range model runs do show another low approaching the coast the weekend of the 14th, so we may see more rain and mountain snows later in the month.

Stay tuned...BA