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Friday April 11th 2014 10:20am MDT

Baring a late-April or May snowstorm, this will be the last post of the season.

Rather than leave you with sunny skies and spring in full swing, it looks like this weekend is full of rain showers as we head towards colder temperatures next week.

Most of the area should see moderate rain showers overnight tonight and during the day tomorrow. These showers should stay 100%, except for a few flakes in up towards the Canadian border.

After a rainy Saturday, colder temperatures return to the region at least until mid-week with mostly clear skies and highs staying in the 40s with lows staying below freezing. This should at least keep the snow on the slopes for some Easter Weekend skiing, but nothing more.

Once again, it looks like these are final closing dates for the last resorts open:

Nubs Nob - April 13
Granite Peak - April 13
Ski Brule - April 13
Boyne Mountain Resort - April 20
Lutsen Resort - April 20
Mount Bohemia - April 21

Have a good summer, and we will return when the snowflakes start flying in the autumn!

Cheers,
Andrew

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Wednesday April 9th 2014 11:26am MDT

Weather-wise, not much to talk about today. Right now most of central and southern Minnesota is seeing it’s warmest temperatures in almost half a year, with highs nearing the 70-degree mark. However, for the North Shore, Wisconsin, and the UP, temperatures are staying 60 and below, allowing for the snowpack to stick around a bit longer, especially where it has built up deep.

Right now the forecast looks to bring a round of rain and snow showers through the area tonight and into tomorrow morning with the cold front passage. Don’t see any accumulation with this, but it will peg down the temperatures 10-15 degrees or so.

The larger low pressure system currently forecast for Friday night and into Saturday is the big new, with the chance for the Upper Midwest to see significant rainfall. Yes I know rain, not the best for skiing, but it will usher in temperatures for next week that will allow a few brave ski areas to re-open for Easter weekend.

Speaking of ski areas, here is a quick rundown of what’s left open:

Nubs Nob - April 13
Granite Peak - April 13
Ski Brule - April 13
Boyne Mountain Resort - April 20
Lutsen Resort - April 20
Mount Bohemia - April 21

Of course these are all subject to change, but that’s what they are telling us!

Until then, either enjoy the start of spring. And pull out the rain jacket for some turns this weekend and hopefully some sunscreen for closing weekend!

Cheers,
Andrew

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Monday April 7th 2014 10:08am MDT

Since this coming weekend is closing day for all Upper Midwest ski areas, this will be the last week of Upper Midwest Daily Snow posts for the season.

Summary

A very spring like week ahead with scattered rain showers and highs nearing the 70-degree mark on Wednesday.

Details

Going to keep this brief since there is no winter related (or really any weather at all to talk about for this week). There are a few rain showers moving through the area today associated with a small low pressure system moving through the Upper Midwest.

After this system, it looks high and dry through Wednesday night, with Wednesday’s forecasted highs possibly hitting the 70-degree mark across the Upper Midwest. However, because of overnight lows staying near the freezing mark, it does not look like flooding will be an issue this year (for now).


High temperatures on Wednesday. Credit: WeatherBell

Long Term

After the warmest temperatues in 6 months on Wednesday, another low pressure system moves through that night bringing another chance for rain showers across the area. Then it’s another warm-up headed into the weekend before the same thing on Saturday.

Spring is officially here!

Cheers,
Andrew

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Friday April 4th 2014 10:19am MDT

Summary

With the snow tapering off, we are in for a very pleasant weekend with moderate temperatures and sunny skies.

Details

Short post today after the storm with a quiet weekend. As for the snow last night and today, the heaviest snow band set up right on a line between the northwest suburbs of the Twin Cities and the South Shore. Areas in those parts neared the one foot mark, while most other areas stayed in the 7-10” range.

Here are the totals as of 11am this morning (note some lesser reports are from last night):



Credit: NOAA

As for this weekend, this system should pull out of the region by this afternoon with skies slowly clearing behind it. Don’t expect to see any higher amounts except for along the UP during the day today, where they could see another 1-3” before things wrap up.

As for this weekend, nothing too exciting to write home about with a shortwave ridge setting up over the Upper Midwest for the short term. That should mean mostly clear skies and warming temperatures through Sunday, just like last weekend. However, with the added snow on the ground, should struggle to see anything get above the mid-50s.

Long Term

No large systems moving through the area in the long term either. Monday looks like the best chance for us to see precipitation, however with the warmer spring temps, it should be light and fall as rain.

Also, by midweek, we could see the ridging and southwesterly flow to help bring temperatures into the mid to upper 60s by Wednesday.

This looks like the last weekend for some good skiing this season, so go!

Enjoy the weekend!

Cheers,
Andrew

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Wednesday April 2nd 2014 9:58am MDT

Summary

I am now every confident that we have a large snowstorm headed right for our doorstep, as a low pressure system looks to slowly make its way across the Midwest tomorrow bring heavy snow to the entire region.

Details

While the models still disagree on exactly where the heaviest snow is going set up during the day tomorrow, it looks like for everywhere north of a line matching the Minnesota/Iowa state line is in for quite the snowstorm tomorrow.


Low Pressure on Thursday night. Credit: WeatherBell

Snow should start in earnest tomorrow morning, especially right around the noon hour, and taper off during the early morning hours of Friday. This sets up the heaviest snowfall to come during the evening hours, and finish up right in time to hit the slope for some early weekend skiing on Friday.

Precipitation type should not be too big of this issue, especially in the heavier bands, as the atmosphere pulls in colder air from the north before the heaviest precipitation moves on during the evening hours. That said, seeing rain showers first in central/southern Minnesota would not be too surprising before switching over to snow.

Right now I am most confident with the European model verifying (sorry, don’t have the rights to share that model’s images) its snow amounts. That puts the heaviest snow band right through the Twin Cities, up through Northern Wisconsin along the north shore, and then through the Keweenaw on the UP. Location in these areas could easily see a foot of snow (8-14”). However, as with any convergence zone, these bands can shift by 50-100 miles and can mean the difference between 12” of snow and 4” of snow.

As for the North Shore, Northwoods, and Central Wisconsin, these areas should still see decent snow amounts, but they should hang around more in the 4-8” range. Not too shabby for the beginning of April.


Model snowfall forecast (different model, I think these numbers are high). Credit: WeatherBell

Long Term

As I said before, this low moves off to the north during the day on Friday with little accumulation expected after sunrise, except further east over the UP.

Quickly looking ahead to this weekend, it looks very similar to last with warmer temperatures and clear skies. However, there looks to be another storm system on the horizon for Sunday night into Monday.

Enjoy the snow!

Cheers,
Andrew

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