Very typical Fall weather in store for the next 10 days. No major snowfall in the forecast.
Short Term Forecast
I am back in Utah after a week of travelling. I apologize for the lack of updates but there really hasn't been too much to talk about. I try to get my trips out of the way before the serious snowfall starts falling. I don't like missing powder days.
We have seen very typical autumn weather to start October. Temps have been fluctuating as weak fronts pass thru the region. Nothing too extreme. We've now seen snow with several systems, however, the snowfall amounts are modest and the breaks between storms warm enough for the snow to mostly melt off in the high elevations. This is going to continue this week as we warm up over the next several days before another trough passes through the region for the upcoming weekend.
On Saturday, we could see some light snow possible in the far northern Utah mountains but accumulations look minimal at best. Then, high pressure takes control again as we head into next week.
We are getting to the time of year where any major storms would start to put down a permanent base and effectively end mountain bike and hiking season in the high Wasatch. I took a look at the extended forecast today and GFS and ECMWF both agree that another trough will push into the Pacific Northwest around October 17-19. It remains to be seen how strong and how far south/east this will push, but we could see a chance for additional mountain snowfall.
I am encouraged that the pattern remains fairly progressive. I don't see too many signs of stubborn ridging. The hope is that these troughs continue to get deeper and stronger as we get closer to the winter season. I will continue to watch the long range and will let you know as soon as we have some confidence in any potentially stronger storms.
Evan | OpenSnow