Mid-Atlantic Daily Snow

Heads up, there may be fresher snow! Read the latest Mid-Atlantic Daily Snow

By Justin Berk, Posted 10 years ago February 13, 2014

Summary:

Beast in the east! Biggest storm in 4 years keeps the EPIC coditions alive

The storm moving up the east coast will be the largest event since the second of two blizzards in February 2010. Initially the hype was for the big cities, and still appears to be. We are due. Being based around Baltimore I have stats focused on the city, but as you can see, a major east coast storm is expected every 3-4 years, and it’s been that long.  The developments in the past day or so seem to benefit the mountains even more. Well some of the mountains.

Details:

At this point the storm is upon us. The main issue is how much. The Low Pressure system will crawl along the east coast and appear to stall. That is when it will crank up and turn into the winter hurricane it’s expected to be. The pressure level will drop below 970 mb off of the NJ coast, which is equivalent to a Category 2 Hurricane. The wind structure is not the same, but it will still generate near blizzard conditions in some places.

The good news is that most mountains stay all snow. That might be a mix with sleet for a few hours at Roundtop and the Poconos, but there will be enough snow before and after to compensate for that.

 

Closer Look:

It is an easy call for southern PA: A foot or more!

Poconos: Perhaps a foot as well.

Western PA/MD/West Virginia: 6-12 inches

Virginia along Skyline Drive: These areas could reach 12-18 inches in the sweet spot!

Here is a look at NWS 75% for snowfall. This is a little above their forecast, but most storms have over achieved all winter… why should this be any different.

Potential Snow ending Feb 13th 

Here is a look at the Canadian GEM Model. The purpose for this is the see how the storm will evolve. Notice the stall, and then second surge of heavy snow in blue Thursday evening. This may benefit eastern zones better, but still an impressive little bugger.

There will be a clipper that follows this event that could drop 2-4 inches on the southern mountains, missing the Poconos.

 

Faith-in-the-Flakes*

 

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