Utah Daily Snow

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By Evan Thayer, Forecaster Posted 4 years ago November 4, 2019

Continued Dry November

Summary

High pressure remains in control for the foreseeable future.

Short Term Forecast

Tuesday Update:  No change. Still waiting for something tangible to show up.  Will do full update again when we see more concrete signs of change.

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If you've been reading the forecasts that last few days, you'll know that we are just in a waiting game to see when the pattern flips again and we have a chance for storms.  Unfortunately, every time I check the new runs of forecast models I am bitterly disappointed.  It usually goes something like this: 

The current GFS for the next 10 days looks like this: 

Notice Utah is high and dry with blocking high pressure keeping storms well north and east of the area.  Expect normal to slightly above normal temps thru mid-month.  

Extended Forecast

I keep searching for signs of change.  Right now I don't see anything in the next 15 days for Utah specifically.  However, if you watch the below loop of mean height anomalies, you can see there is a growing consensus for a deep trough to develop in the Gulf of AK around November 18-20: 

That's a lot of high pressure (warm colors) over our part of the country.  But perhaps some hope for the very end of November.  We can also look at PNA teleconnections to help us determine patterns.  Right now the PNA is going strongly positive.  There are some indications in could flip negative again around November 20th.  Of course, we are grasping at straws -- but we have no other choice at this point.  

Evan | OpenSnow

About Our Forecaster

Evan Thayer

Forecaster

To Evan, 'The Greatest Snow on Earth' is more than just a motto - it’s a way of life. In 2010, he started Wasatch Snow Forecast as a way to share the best powder days with his fellow snow-lovers. Evan brings the same quality forecasts and weather discussions to OpenSnow and hopes you enjoy skiing/riding Utah as much as he does.

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