It was a beautiful weekend for skiing. I was under the weather Friday and Saturday, but finally made it out yesterday to Boreal for their closing day. I posted the story on the TahoeWeather Instagram page. Yesterday was closing day for Bear Valley, Heavenly, and Boreal. Now we just have Squaw, Alpine, and Mt. Rose left.
Alpine and Mt. Rose will close this upcoming Sunday the 29th. There is still plenty of snow on the mountains for skiing this week, especially North facing and above 8,000 feet for back country hiking. The weather will remain warm through Thursday with highs in the 60's at lake level and 50's on the upper mountains. So soft and mushy snow conditions will continue as well as goggle tanning weather.
We are in cut-off low season as the jet stream continues to retract North and weaken. That means there is nothing to steer or push this storms along as they break off from the flow and wander off the coast. We have one this week that as it slowly moves towards the coast will help to create afternoon thunderstorms starting Wednesday afternoon through Friday afternoon.
The GFS pushes the low inland Friday with another system dropping down the coast Sunday. The European model pushes the low inland slowly over the weekend with another system possible Monday. Either way it looks like we cool down Friday through the weekend and the winds likely pick up a bit. We could see highs in the 40's on the mountains and 50's at lake level.
The showers could be more persistent over the weekend with some high elevations snowfall possible. The GFS is now the drier model through Monday and the European the wetter model. Here is the Euro through Monday.
and the snowfall forecast...
If it seems like a confusing forecast, it is. Expect unsettled weather through the weekend, and we will have to watch to see how heavy the precip could be, and how cold the air is that moves in.
It looks like another low pressure system could be meandering off the coast by the middle of next week... So we will just have to monitor each of these. They are hard to forecast precip/snowfall amounts and snow levels until a day or two out. They can speed up, slow down, move North, move South, turnaround, etc... fun for forecasting.
Once in a while we get a late season bonus snowfall with a May or June powder day. I'll keep watching and let you know.
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