A weak system is going to clip Northern Utah this weekend with a few mountain snow showers possible. Dry to start next week, but a change in the pattern will give us chances for snow after the Thanksgiving holiday.
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Short Term Forecast
Today (Friday) should be clear. The weekend will start out with a clipper system that is dropping down the Rockies. Model runs continue to be weak with this system, but it might have a bit more luck than previously expected generating snow showers. I don't think we are looking at much, but there's a chance some places could pick up a quick inch or two in the Wasatch and Uinta mountains if they get a persistent or heavy snow shower. It looks like the best time for snow showers will be Saturday afternoon. Not much to look at on the maps, just a light amount for far northern Utah thru Sunday:
We should be clear on Sunday with cool temps. We remain clear thru midweek.
Things start to change right around Thanksgiving Day. Models also differ quite a bit for this period. The GFS keeps us dry thru next Friday with a weak system pushing in next Saturday. This is the GFS thru next Saturday:
Not too impressive but it's something....
On the other hand, the Euro model is much more progressive. It would bring in a weak system as early as Thanksgiving Day. With a moderate system on Saturday the 24th, and another system possible the 25th or 26th. The Euro has been very consistent with this idea so hopefully has a better handle than the GFS. While this may not be major snow, both models have at least some snowfall in Utah mountains during that holiday weekend.
Extended forecast differs a bit between the two models. The GFS finally sweeps thru a big final trough during the November 26-29 time frame, that would potentially bring some good precip to the region. Here is the GFS thru the end of the month:
The Euro may continue to bring in energy as well thru the end of the month, but both the GFS and Euro have a ridge of high pressure building in to some extent right at the end of the month. Hopefully, if this were to occur, it would be a short-term ridge rather than another long, stubborn period of ridging.
Evan | OpenSnow
Due to be a bit of model consistency and getting closer to the pattern change. I was able to nudge up the "stoke level" just a touch. It's still Low, but another day of model runs and we could see it creep up a bit more. I recommend not getting excited until it's in the "high" range.