Boise Region Daily Snow
By Matthew Platt, Forecaster Posted 2 months ago December 8, 2023
Our overnight storm overproduced the forecast which was awesome to see! Bogus and Tamarack both ended up with about 10 inches of snow while Brundage had about 5 inches. It made for great conditions today at Bogus for opening day! Our storm over the weekend is looking a bit more promising. Let's take a look.
Short Term Forecast
I love it when storms overproduce. I tend to be a bit more bearish in my expectations for snowfall. I just know that when I see big forecasts and they don't pan out I am disappointed. I like to temper expectations and if we get some upside surprise so much the better! Ten inches of snowfall at Bogus and Tamarack is phenomenal and definitely will help with that base building. Temperatures were cold last night so the snow was blower quality.
Models have started to come a bit south on this weekend's storm. Initially (as I said yesterday) the storm was going to have a bit of an AR quality and fizzle out as it moved north to south into our region. Yesterday evening the models moved further south with it and today that trend has continued.
Below is the 48-hour precipitation forecast ending at 8 AM on Monday morning. This forecast was created yesterday:
Check out today's forecast for that same 48-hour period:
That is a fairly significant difference if the forecast pans out. Temperatures are forecasted to be warmer but still keep freezing levels under 4500 feet throughout the event.
The timing of the storm is up in the air as of now. It looks like we could start seeing precipitation filter in late Saturday afternoon with the heavier precipitation moving in during the overnight hours. The storm will be out of our area by mid-afternoon on Sunday.
Assuming models are on to something, I think we can expect a good 4-8 inches of snow at Tamarack and Brundage. The higher end on Brundage is more of a sure bet due to the storm progressing north to south. Bogus will see slightly lesser amounts of 3-6 inches.
I will update if I see any significant changes in the forecast.
Next week will be a boring week. Temperatures will be around average to slightly warm. There is no precipitation forecasted anywhere (except Alaska). Models are trying to bring storms into Tahoe around the 15 or 16th. Let's see if that pans out!
Sawtooth Avalanche Center (SAC) added the Boise Mountains to their web-based observations platform at Sawtooth Avalanche Center » Observations. This is great news for those of you traveling into and riding the backcountry! Be sure to make liberal use of those observations as you venture out.
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