New England Daily Snow

Update

Friday's snow showers and squalls over achieved (story of the week) and set a persistent area of upslope flow in the Green Mountains leading to a fresh 2-5" up and down Vermont. Over in New Hampshire, local reports of up to 3" came in from Wildcat and Waterville:

Those totals add to a great 10-day period with snowfall totals >2 feet at many resorts throughout Vermont and ~1-foot totals in New Hampshire and western Maine. 

Snow showers are ongoing along the western slope of the Green Mountains and Berkshires this Saturday morning with a few flakes flying over in western Maine. Elsewhere snow is falling in New York off the Finger Lakes and a quick snow shower looks parked just north of Boston. 

Snow showers will likely decrease throughout the day today as winds pick up to ~15-20 mph sustained with gusts to 30 mph out of the north and northwest and usher in colder air. Temperatures will likely hold steady this morning in the 10s and fall throughout the day. What you see is what you get really. An additional inch of snow is not out of the question Saturday across western and elevated regions of Vermont. 

Winds should crank tonight with strong cold air advection into the region dropping temperatures below zero and wind chills into the negative double digits. It'll be cold Sunday morning with high temperatures expected to rise to near 0F or the positive single digits throughout the day. Biggest issues this weekend on the slopes will be if the wind is high enough to cause any lift holds, and brutal wind chill temperatures. You'll be wearing a mask, for sure -- COVID or no COVID. Otherwise, conditions look great, especially with all the fresh snow. 

The week ahead is still looking relatively quiet across New England with a couple near misses to our South. The first will be a storm that crosses to the Mid-Atlantic in the Tuesday/Wednesday time frame and a second that crosses to the Carolina coast in the Thursday/Friday time frame. These two storms should stay enough to our south to not influence our chances of snow. As I've indicated, snow conditions should stabilize to pockets of powder to mostly packed powder with plenty of machine groom at resorts. Conditions at XC resorts should also be great with colder weather favoring good skate skiing surfaces - just don't ask me what wax to use.

Forecast animation of sea-level pressure and precipitation over the US from the ECMWF Model for Monday through Friday next week from http://www.pivotalweather.com.

Temperatures during the upcoming week will feel a bit colder than they have been, but otherwise nothing out of the ordinary for winter. Expect high temperatures in the 20s with overnight lows in the 10s. It will be cold enough for snow making should the resorts want to increase any coverage or depth. 

The ensembles are all in agreement that we're on the dry side for the week ahead with our next shot at snow coming late next weekend in the Sunday/Monday time frame as we start February. Some ensembles members are liking our chances at snow, while others are taking a storm up to our west that might favor rain. It's far too soon to say which way will verify with a storm equally likely over New York as it is over the western North Atlantic:

I'll be back on Monday with a full forecast. Enjoy the conditions this weekend and stay warm.

-Dr. Jay | New England Daily Snow