National Weather Service snow reports from Sunday.

A few more reports came into the National Weather Service on Sunday to round out totals from our previous event at ~1 to 5" across the region with highest totals in the Whites at elevation and over in western Maine. To be honest though, most of this snow likely already melted away, especially anything less than 1-2". If it didn't melt on Sunday, it'll likely melt on Monday as temperatures are expected to push through the 40s across Central New England (50s South) and at least above freezing on the slopes. 

NAM model forecast animation for 2PM Monday through 2PM Tuesday.

We'll have increasing clouds throughout the day with rain showers developing across southern and western New England with a weak area of low pressure passes south of the region. Snow is expected at high elevations, but not likely until later this evening into the overnight hours. Accumulations of ~1-2" are expected above ~1000 feet in the Berkshires and in southern Vermont. For reference, the OpenSnow blend has 2-4" at Mount Snow and 1-3" at Killington.

GFS model forecast animation for 11AM Wednesday through 8AM Thursday.

Both Tuesday and Wednesday are looking like quiet(er) weather days with temperatures near normal for this time of year (upper 30s at elevation and low 40s at bases). The weather turns a bit snowier and colder late in the day on Wednesday into the overnight hours as a cold front blasts through the region with a chance at some snow squalls. A good dusting to 1" will be possible, but totals higher than that are unlikely as the cold front is moving pretty quick. That sets the stage for a cooler and windier Thursday with slopes only warming into the teens to near 20F and a slightly warmer Friday. 

As we turn the calendar into April, most resorts will still be skiing >75-100% open terrain, which is quite remarkable compared to how the winter started and where we were last year. Everyday in April without snow is a loss though as we lose it to increasing temperatures and the sun angle. So when is it going to snow again?

ECMWF and GFS model comparison for 8AM on Saturday. Womp womp.

Our next system comes in on Friday and it looks like it'll start as snow as the warm front pushes north with cold air in place. The cold air *may* get scoured out pretty quickly overnight with rain likely across much of the region with strong low pressure to our west. Snowfall on the front end could be 2-4" across higher elevations in the northern Greens, Whites, and in western Maine with some lighter accumulations on the backside into Sunday. We'll have to watch for rainfall totals of 0.5-1" on Saturday with a potential surge in dewpoint temperatures >40F exacerbating some snow melt. Notice that I used the phrase "may" and "potential surge" in the previous sentences. The pattern looks good for some cold air damming which would keep temperatures at lower elevations cooler than aloft. That would at least limit some of the melting.

-Dr. Jay

I'll be doing some traveling this week, but shouldn't have any issues posting the next forecast on Wednesday morning.