New Mexico Daily Snow
By Julien Ross, Forecaster Posted 3 months ago November 28, 2023
Three storms are in the pipeline for a Thursday to Saturday cycle. The first storm will be the warmest of the three and is expected to track south across the center of the state. The second and third storms will bring colder air and should clip the northern mountains. Combined storm totals should be 4-8" in the northern mountains and could approach a foot of snow in some spots.
Short Term Forecast
It should be a gorgeous late-Autumn Tuesday with plenty of sunshine. Wednesday will be more of a transition day with some clouds moving in ahead of our next storm cycle.
Three storms are forecast to bring three waves of snow from Thursday morning to Sunday morning.
Storm #1 will arrive overnight Wednesday into Thursday morning. Most models have storm #1 taking a southern track across the middle of the state which could help get some early-season snow to Pajarito and Sandia Peak. The big caveat will be relatively warm temperatures with storm #1.
Storm #2 is expected to follow on Friday with a round of colder temperatures and then storm #3 on Saturday with the coldest temperatures of the cycle. Both storms #2 and #3 are expected to sweep through as open troughs taking more northern tracks with winds from the west and west-northwest and favoring the northern mountains.
OpenSnow's in-house downscaled GFS Ensemble is bullish for Pajarito with close to 1" of liquid precipitation through the combined 3-storm cycle.
The National Blend of Models shows a combined storm total range of 4-9" for the Jemez and Sangres and 1-3" for the central and southern mountains. The tracks of storms #2 and #3 should bring deep totals again to Wolf Creek.
Snow should wrap up on Sunday morning with about five days of dry weather to follow as high pressure builds over the western half of the country.
All eyes then turn to around December 10-11 when we hope the high pressure breaks down and the storm track returns.
Have a great Tuesday and thanks for reading.
I will post again on Wednesday with the very latest details on the Thursday-Saturday storm cycle.
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Opening Dates (check resort websites and social media for the latest updates):
→ Angel Fire: December 15
→ Pajarito: December 22
→ Red River: Open daily beginning December 15th. Closed Nov 27-30, Dec 4-8, and Dec 11-14
→ Sandia Peak: TBD
→ Ski Apache: December 25
→ Ski Santa Fe: OPEN
→ Sipapu: OPEN Nov. 17-Nov. 26; Closed Nov. 27 – Nov. 30; Open Dec. 1-3; Closed Dec. 4-7
→ Taos: OPEN
New Mexico Geography Key
→ Red River, Taos Ski Valley (north side of northern mountains - Sangre de Cristos)
→ Angel Fire (northeast side of northern mountains - Sangre de Cristos)
→ Sipapu (middle of the northern mountains - Sangre de Cristos)
→ Ski Santa Fe (south side of the northern mountains - Sangre de Cristos)
→ Pajarito (southwest side of the northern mountains - Jemez)
→ Sandia Peak (Sandias)
→ Mt. Taylor backcountry (San Mateos)
→ Ski Apache (Sacramentos)
→ Ski Cloudcroft (Sacramentos)