Summary
We remain inverted with valley fog and haze for another few days. We will have a general increase in activity over the 10 days with chances for snowfall increasing.
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Short Term Forecast
Another day down in the soup today with fog, haze, and cold valley temps. Head up to elevation for relief!
There are two main systems I'm watching this week. The first will roll through northern Utah on Tuesday. This storm is relatively weak and will likely only bring some light snow to the area. Still, can't rule out an inch or two in the high elevations on Tuesday.
Another storm on its heels pushes in on Wednesday. This is looking a few hours earlier today than yesterday, which is significant because it could push the good skiing up to Wednesday afternoon rather than Thursday morning.
Still there is a lot of uncertainty with these storms:
If you look at the dark green lines, these are GFS individual ensembles that make up the operational run. You can see that they range from 0.1" to over an inch of liquid. This is the same thing we saw yesterday. That would literally mean anything from an inch of snow to over a foot. In other words, not a ton of confidence right now. However, I'd guess somewhere in the middle (4-8") is the most likely scenario.
This week's storms are not big storms, but it is the start of what looks like a return to a more active pattern.
Extended Forecast
Next weekend another wave will push in off the Pacific, but looks to mostly fall apart before reaching us. However, we could see a few snow showers over the weekend if it holds together long enough. Both the GFS and Euro then have a stronger system moving in around next Monday (12/17). Additional storms then could be possible after that.
Evan | OpenSnow
This week's storms are weak to moderate and I still don't have full confidence in them. Stoke, therefore, remains low. However, I'm getting a feeling that as we gain confidence this week, and additional storms come within range, the stoke meter might start to climb steadily. I'll keep you posted.
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