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Once again there is not much change to my previous forecast. I usually tell people that once we get about 2-3 days away from a storm, I get pretty confident in the forecast. This is another one of those cases as tonight's "storm" is on track to drop a few inches of snow, 1-3ish for most, a bit more north of I-70 and a bit less south. The snow should start between 8pm and midnight and the heaviest snow will finish up by mid morning on Monday. I expect on-and-off snow showers through the day on Monday with little more accumulation. View the forecast for every mountain in Colorado.

There will be another "storm" from Wednesday night through Thursday, but again I think this is a pretty weak system with just a few inches possible. The models are not agreeing with themselves from run-to-run (they are run every six hours) nor are they agreeing with each other, so I'm not that confident about the details of this storm, but it does appear that it'll be weak. 

Looking further ahead, the pattern is shifting but like I've said I'm not sure if this will be good for Colorado. The current storm track is warm and moist for the west coast and northern Rockies as it is coming straight off the Pacific Ocean. It's also arcing north of Colorado and leaving us dry. Most of the models now agree that this storm track will shift in the middle of December and bring in colder air to the northern, central, and eastern sections of the country. However, it's not a slam dunk that this brings us a lot of snow. I do think that Colorado will see better chances of snow during the middle of December, but it's way to early to know if this means a few significant storms or just a few weaker storms. Obviously anything is better than the three weeks of dry weather we've just endured, so let's hope for the best.

This graphic outlines the likely new storm track setting up toward the middle of the month. Notice that Colorado is on the edge...if the storm track shifts a bit south and west we can do well. If it stays in this position or shifts a bit north and east, we will still see some snow but it won't be that significant and the most snow could actually fall east of the divide. 

JOEL GRATZ