Mid-Atlantic Daily Snow

Heads up, there may be fresher snow! Read the latest Mid-Atlantic Daily Snow

By Zach Butler, Meteorologist Posted 1 year ago March 28, 2023

Strong front with brief heavy snow Wednesday evening

Summary

A few rain and snow showers will affect the region on Tuesday with minimal accumulations. Wednesday will see a big change in the way of a strong cold front pushing in from the northwest after 4pm. This front will bring brief snow squalls with gusty winds, whiteout conditions, and snow accumulations of 1-2 inches. Thursday might be the last morning of freshies. Let’s get into it…

Short Term Forecast

Not much in the way of snow accumulations fell on Monday with most of the snow sticking to the highest terrain in the Catskills. Here is a look at dreary Hunter Mountain with 67% of the terrain still open on Monday. 

A few scattered rain and snow showers will affect the region on Tuesday with minimal accumulations expected. The main story in this forecast is a strong cold front that will move through the region Wednesday evening. This cold front will move in from the northwest, associated with a storm system tracking to the north. 

This will be a serious cold front with heavy bursts of snow likely. The front will begin to affect the northwestern Mid-Atlantic Wednesday evening after 4 pm. This front will gain strength and quickly move to the southeast through Wednesday evening, reaching central PA and eastern NY by 9 pm The front will weaken through central PA and dissipate along the I-95 corridor. Some initial rain is likely, but precipitation will change to snow within 30 minutes of onset. 

Here is a look at the NAM model’s depiction of precipitation type and intensity from 2 pm Wednesday, March 29th through 8 am Thursday, March 30th.

A classic spring cold front associated with snow squalls is coming. Whiteout conditions are likely with wind gusts in excess of 40 mph. Snowfall rates will be heavy and drop 1-2 inches of snow during the hour of the frontal passage. Heads up and be careful! The heavy snow will only last about 1 hour.

Here is a look at the NAM model's snow accumulations on Wednesday evening. 

A few snow showers will remain in the northern Mid-Atlantic on Thursday with minimal accumulations and high temperatures around freezing. The next larger storm system will quickly move into the region on Friday afternoon. This storm will track well to the north, but a few initial snowflakes are possible on Friday afternoon. 

Widespread rain will move through Friday night and on Saturday with heavy rain at times. Total rain accumulations will be around 1-2 inches with locally higher and lower amounts. The good news is that a trailing cold front will drop temperatures below freezing Saturday night and allow some backside snow showers to develop north and west. 

Here is a look at the GFS model’s depiction of precipitation type and intensity from 8 am Friday, March 31st through 2 pm Sunday, April 2nd.

Extended Forecast

A few snow showers will affect the northern and western Mid-Atlantic Saturday night through Sunday morning, April 2nd. With a warm, soaked ground prior to snow showers, it will be tough to accumulate. A trace - 1 inch of snow is likely, but many resorts will just see flakes in the air and not on the ground. This looks like a perfect end to many scheduled closing dates next weekend. 

Snow showers will dissipate throughout Sunday and some sun will shine through on the end of the season for many resorts. Some resorts, mainly in New York, will stick around next week and target the following weekend, April 8th and 9th to close. 

Next week starting on Monday, April 3rd will see another active weather week. Storm systems will track through the region and to the north with plenty of opportunities for rain. A few wet snowflakes are likely in the northern Mid-Atlantic, but like this week, they will have trouble accumulating. 

Here is a look at the Climate Prediction Center’s temperature and precipitation probability from Sunday, April 2nd to Thursday, April 6th. 

Near normal to slightly above normal temperatures are likely next week with above precipitation for most parts of the region. 

That is all for this forecast, thanks for reading, and I will have the next forecast on Friday. See the Announcements below. 

Zach Butler, Meteorologist for the Mid-Atlantic Daily Snow. 

Announcements

I will be out of internet service on Wednesday, Thursday, and maybe Friday. The next forecast will be as soon as I can get back to the internet on Friday morning or afternoon. 

Project Closing Dates: Subject to change with incoming rain next weekend 

April 1st - Belleayre, NY. Greek Peak, NY. 
April 2nd - Snowshoe, WV. Windham, NY. Swain, NY. Camelback, PA. Seven Springs, PA. 
April 9th - Holiday Valley, NY. 

Resorts that are still open with no closing date announcement yet:

NY: Bristol, Buffalo Ski Club, HoliMont, Hunter, Labrador, Song

PA: Montage Mountain 

Check out a new article, just in time for this week's snow squall event! 

Snow Squall Explained

About Our Forecaster

Zach Butler

Meteorologist

Zach Butler is currently a PhD student in Water Resources Science at Oregon State University. He just finished his master's in Applied Meteorology at Plymouth State University in New Hampshire. Originally from Maryland, he has grown up hiking and skiing up and down the East Coast. When not doing coursework, he enjoys cooking and exploring the pacific northwest on his bike.

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