Midwest Daily Snow

Heads up, there may be fresher snow! Read the latest Midwest Daily Snow

By Croix Christenson, Meteorologist Posted 3 months ago November 30, 2023

Mild, Maybe for a While

Summary

A few systems are poised to visit the Midwest on Friday and again on Sunday, bringing a mix of rain and snow to portions of the Midwest. Overall, the pattern will remain near or above normal for the next week, if not longer.

Short Term Forecast

Tuesday, Nov. 28 to Sunday, December 3:

North Shore Lake Superior

I am starting to feel like a broken record, but still no significant storms on the horizon, and with the meager snowpack, we will be relying on snowmaking to get us on the snow. Thankfully, resorts have been cranking out the snow lately and we have multiple openings coming up plus the Nordic Center at Spirit Mountain is open. 

Starting Thursday night and into Sunday AM should allow for more terrain to be open for the weekend, here is a look at Spirit Mountain's forecast snowmaking conditions:

South Shore Lake Superior

Summary of the week ahead:

  • Light lake effect Thursday PM as some colder air returns
  • Maybe some snow late this weekend or early next week, but I'm not overly optimistic it will amount to anything significant for a majority of the south shore

Forecast snowmaking conditions at Snowriver

Twin Cities Region

Until I see otherwise, no major systems are expected for the Twin Cities region, sadly. If you're looking to hit the slopes or hop on some Nordic skis, we will be reliant on snowmaking to make that happen. 

The good news: at least we will still see periods that allow for snowmaking to continue, particularly Thursday night to Saturday morning! 

Forecast snowmaking conditions at Buck Hill

Central and Southern Wisconsin

A couple of sloppy systems are poised to visit Wisconsin on Friday/Friday night and then again possibly on Sunday. Both will feature a mix of rain and snow with some minor accumulations possible. If headed to the slopes for opening day on Friday, expect to see some drizzle, light rain, or wet snow at times, especially in southern Wisconsin. 

The warmer air will also impact snowmaking, particularly in southern Wisconsin, as we see higher humidity and warmer temps, which is less than ideal. 

Forecast snowmaking conditions at Cascade: 

Forecast precipitation types from the ECMWF for Friday into Saturday AM:  

Northern Lower Michigan

There may be some light rain/snow/drizzle mix for the resorts further south such as Crystal Mountain on Friday, otherwise, the next chance of precip arrives on Sunday where most models suggest we see a mix of rain/snow/drizzle. I will have more details on Sunday's forecast as we get closer. There is still some uncertainty in the exact track and where the rain/snow line sets up. 

With the milder air and higher humidity (which is not ideal), we will see fewer periods to make snow over the next 5+ days.

Forecast snowmaking conditions at Crystal Mountain: 

Southern Lower Michigan

Periods of rain and snow on Friday and again possibly on Sunday, which could be enough to impact some operations. If resorts were able to build a couple feet of a base, then it would be less of an issue, but if it's a foot or less I could see impacts being more widespread.

If headed to the slopes on Friday, maybe toss in a raincoat as there will be periods of drizzle and rain. If locations do see snow, it will be quite wet so a raincoat would still be nice to have. 

Forecast precipitation types from the HRRR for Friday:  

This mix of rain and snow will also impact forecast snowmaking conditions at Mount Holly and others in the region: 

Extended Forecast

December 4 to 10:

  • One or multiple smaller systems with snow and possibly rain for the first half of the week
  • There is a signal that precipitation will be drier compared to normal in the lake effect snow belts due to the absence of cold air
  • There's a strong signal that it will be warmer than normal, overall
    • The warmest day is likely around the 7th or 8th

December 11 to 17:

  • No clear precipitation signal compared to normal (models show equal odds of drier or wetter)
  • There is a slight signal of warmer than normal, but not by much at this time

The next forecast will be posted on Friday - thanks for reading! 

Announcements

Latest Opening Dates by Region!

North Shore Lake Superior
Open: Mount Baldy, Spirit Mountain, Mont du Lac

Opening Dates: Lutsen - Dec. 1, Loch Lomond - Dec 8, Giants Ridge - Dec. 2

Closed: Chester Bowl, Bearskin

South Shore Lake Superior
Open: Ski Brule, Searchmont

Opening Dates: Snowriver - Dec. 1

Closed: ABR, Whitecap, Ripley, Birkie, Powderhorn, Porkies, Bohemia, Marquette Mtn, Pine Mtn

Twin Cities Region
Open: Andes Tower Hills, Wild Mtn, Trollhaugen, Powder Ridge

Opening Dates: Afton Alps - Nov. 29, Christie Dec. 8, Hyland Hills - Dec. 1, Buck Hill - Dec. 1, Welch Village - Dec. 2 (pass holders only)

Closed: Coffee Mill, Mount Kato

Central and Southern Wisconsin
Open: Alpine Valley (WI), Sundown (Iowa), Little Switz

Opening Dates: Cascade - Dec. 2, Granite Peak - Dec. 1, Devil's Head - Dec. 2, Wilmot Mtn - Dec. 1, Sunburst - Dec. 1, Nordic Mtn - Dec. 1

Closed: Paul Bunyan, Mt La Crosse, Mountain Top, Chestnut (Illinois), Tyrol

Northern Lower Michigan
Open: Treetops

Opening Dates: Crystal Mtn - Dec 1, Nub's Nob - Dec. 1, Boyne Highlands - Dec. 1, Boyne Mtn - Dec. 2, Caberfae - Dec. 2

Closed: Otsego, Shanty Crk

Southern Lower Michigan
Open: Mt Holly, Pine Knob, Bittersweet

Opening Dates:  Alpine Valley (MI) - Nov. 30, Mt Brighton - Dec. 1

Closed: Cannonsburg, Timber Ridge, Swiss Valley

Road Conditions:

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About Our Forecaster

Croix Christenson

Meteorologist

Croix grew up in Saint Paul, Minnesota where he developed his passion for the outdoors and snow. He attended the University of Wisconsin-Madison and received his BS and MS in Atmospheric Science. When not working, you will find Croix exploring his Duluth, Minnesota backyard by skiing, mountain biking, fishing, surfing, hiking with his dog Doppler, or just about any activity that gets him outside.

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