Midwest Daily Snow

Heads up, there may be fresher snow! Read the latest Midwest Daily Snow

By Croix Christenson, Meteorologist Posted 1 month ago February 21, 2024

More Spring-Like Conditions On Tap for Wendesday

Summary

This week will remain mild overall, with no significant snowfall likely - expect spring-like conditions most days on the slopes through Sunday. Next week looks more active after a mild start with rain/snow chances increasing from Tuesday to Thursday.

Short Term Forecast

General Observations:

From Tuesday's Daily Snow:

Given the challenges resorts have faced this season (warmth and lack of snow) and the upcoming warm spell, we could see resorts close earlier than normal. I still think some locations will last well into March or April, but I also won't be surprised if we see closures in the first half of March if the mild pattern continues. If you have passes left to use, it may be a good idea to use them sooner rather than later while resorts have a larger percentage of their runs open.

Snow Chances Wednesday, Feb. 21 to Sunday, March 3

Once we return to a favorable pattern for widespread precipitation, I will split it into regional discussions. 

Tuesday was mild for much of the Midwest, here is a look at observed temperatures from Tuesday afternoon:

Wednesday - Thursday:

  • High temps ranging from the 30s to 50s
  • Only light precip chances. Forecast precip types from the ECMWF for Wednesday:

Friday - Saturday:

  • Brief cool down, closer to normal, especially Friday
    • Western portions of the region begin to warm back up again by Saturday
  • Light rain and snow chances, with some lake effect snow as well
    • Light accumulations favor the south shore of Lake Superior and northern Lower Michigan regions

Sunday into next week:

  • Mild temps Sunday into early next week
    • Depending on which models end up being correct, things could be very mild for a portion of the Midwest early next week with a shot at 60?!
  • Rain and snow chances increase from Tuesday to Thursday next week
    • Models are split on whether we see one better-organized system or a multi-part system
      • Confidence: Low - very large divergence between models in how much rain or snow we see

Extended Forecast

Fantasy Land: Monday, March 4 to Sunday, March 10

  • Models lean warmer than normal
    • Confidence: Low
  • Models suggest we see above-normal precipitation this week, which if true would be a bad recipe if accompanied by mild temps
    • Confidence: Low

The next forecast will be posted on Thursday - thanks for reading!

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Regions:

Road Conditions: Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin

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About Our Forecaster

Croix Christenson

Meteorologist

Croix grew up in Saint Paul, Minnesota where he developed his passion for the outdoors and snow. He attended the University of Wisconsin-Madison and received his BS and MS in Atmospheric Science. When not working, you will find Croix exploring his Duluth, Minnesota backyard by skiing, mountain biking, fishing, surfing, hiking with his dog Doppler, or just about any activity that gets him outside.

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