An extended dry period begins today, Tuesday. We'll be warming up throughout the week into the 40's with plenty of sun. Our next chance for snow/rain is likely more than 10 days out, so we'll have to be patient through a mid - winter dry streak.
Short Term Forecast
In typical fashion... it's always hard for me to get totals snowfall numbers from several resorts. Mtn. High reported yesterday morning that they received 4 inches. Now this morning they are saying that 3 - 5 inches fell yesterday yet their total for new snow in the last 7 days only shows 5 inches. So to me it sounds like only 5 inches fell total... While I think this is low I really have no way of truly verifying exactly what fell yesterday.
The only resort that makes sense to me is Snow Valley and they report 5- 8 inches total, which is right within the forecast range. Bear Mtn. and Snow Summit really did not do well in this one and likely because of more North and Northeast flow. They only got 3 inches total and Mt. Baldy looks like they picked up around 6 - 8 inches of snow, which was also in the range.
Mtn. High's reports often do not make sense to me so hopefully I can figure that out by reaching out to them. One of the other issues is that while I'm assuming that when mtns report 2 numbers it's the base and summit numbers but I really have no way of knowing exactly where they measure, so that's another element of surprise to me.
Either way the storm performed about as expected and now we'll enter into an extended dry period.
Tuesday - Sunday
Here's the OpenSnow forecast for Snow Summit:
We're going to see sunny and dry weather for the rest of the week and into next week. Highs will be cold today in the 20's but quickly jump into the mid 40's by Friday and Saturday. Winds will be breezy today out of the Northeast up to 25 MPH but then decrease through the rest of the week before increasing a bit again on Sunday out of the Southwest.
Expect plenty of sun and warmer temps this week with no snow or rain.
If you've been reading the last few days you know that there really isn't much of a good chance for rain or snow going into next week as well... The forecast looks quite dry all of next week.
As you can see from above the pattern is going to favor the Pacific Northwest and Northern Rockies and definitely not the desert Southwest.
The GFS Ensembles show even less chances for precip going into next week and beyond so we really might be stuck in a pretty dry pattern for a while:
We'll just have to see how it plays out as we get closer but for now I believe we'll see a 10 day break from active weather.
Till the next one... Mike out.
This week we talk about Where the Snow Is Headed as we reach the Mid-Point of Winter, catch up with Powder Chaser Stever to see Where He is Chasing Snow, check in with Zach Butler to see What the Heck is Going On with the Northeast's Winter, report the 5-Day Snowfall Totals around the U.S., look at the Snowfall Forecast for The Upcoming Week, and discuss The Long-Range Snowfall Patterns!