Southern California Daily Snow
By Mike Korotkin, Meteorologist Posted 1 year ago February 4, 2023
Maybe a Dusting?
Summary
After a mild and sunny Saturday we get a quick hitting chance for a dusting to an inch of snow this Sunday. The remainder of next week still looks quite dry and will turn more mild by the end of it. But the pattern is forecasted to change to more active weather by the 3rd week of February...
Short Term Forecast
Good morning readers. I know it's been a few days since I've updated you all. The weather has generally been quite pleasant and mellow so I didn't want to bore with with saying we're seeing dry weather.
There's been a slight increase for precip chances starting tomorrow, Sunday February 5th and I'm showing you that below.
Sunday Snow Chances
That's enough for a dusting to an inch at best in most places. The temps will be warm today, on Saturday in the 40's and by tomorrow they should drop about 10 degrees if not more. Winds will get gusty out of the West Southwest up to 40 MPH over the ridges and overall it will be a more active day with wind the potential for snow showers. But accumulations will be very low and I'm not going to bother with a snowfall forecast since at most I think an inch is the best we'll see.
Rest of Next Week
You can see below on the forecast for Bear Mtn. for the rest of next week is pretty dry.
That's been the general thinking for some time now as we're in an extended mostly dry pattern for our part of the West. Highs will stay on the cooler end on Monday with temps in the high 20's and low 30's. By Tuesday through Friday we'll see a warming trend with highs going into the mid 40's.
Skies should be relatively clear and there should only windy conditions on Monday with gusts out of the North up to 30 MPH.
Enjoy the nice weather because I do believe we'll see more active weather later in February...
Extended Forecast
The models have been showing a pattern change trying to occur around the 3rd week of February for a little while now. you can see that the precip chances increase on both the ensembles runs of the GFS and Euro respectively below.
That 3rd week of February looks considerably more active and has chances for precip throughout the whole week compared to all of this next week. So the models are picking up on a pattern shift but at this time the details are naturally not known.
You can see below that the GFS shows at least average precip for the 7 day period ending the 3rd week of February. That doesn't necessarily mean a super wet week with lots of big storms but at least it doesn't show it being drier than normal.
We'll just have to see how things look in about a week when we're looking at short range rather than long range and fantasy range for our storms.
Till the next one... Mike out.