Southern California Daily Snow
By Mike Korotkin, Meteorologist Posted 2 months ago November 28, 2023
Mostly sunny and dry through Wednesday. Thursday and Friday we should see snow showers increase. Amounts will be light but snow levels should go below the bases for an all snow event. We will dry out and warm up after the storm. Next week should remain mostly dry and much more mild. No big storms on the horizon.
Short Term Forecast
Tuesday & Wednesday
It will be dry and mostly sunny through Wednesday. Some models show a little precip on Wednesday, but I think most of it will show up Wednesday night into Thursday. Temps will cool into the mid 30's by Wednesday. Winds should generally stay light.
Thursday & Friday Snow Showers
The models have trended even further South with the trough and subsequent storm. This means that even less moisture looks to make it into our local mtns. You can really see blow how the base of the trough is basically touching Baja California.
The GFS shows almost no moisture reaching us at all, while the Euro shows what you see below. That's hardly anything for the mtns specifically with most of the energy in San Diego and Riverside counties.
I'm going to temper my expectations even more on this one and say that the ski areas are more likely to see a dusting to 1 inch of snow across the region with places like Mtn. High potentially seeing the dusting and the Big Bear region might see an inch.
Temps & Winds
The temp and wind forecast stays the same from yesterday. It will be cool to cold by Thursday with highs in the upper 20's on the mtns. Friday and Saturday we see a warm up into the mid to upper 30's. Winds could gust up to 30 MPH out of the West-Northwest on Thursday before calming on Friday.
Saturday should be a mostly dry day with warmer temps and light winds. There's still a chance for a stray shower but accumulations certainly won't be a concern.
Below is the Euro total precip for the model average across dozens of model runs. You can see that the moisture stays in the Pacific Northwest and that on the whole SoCal doesn't get much.
Our little storm is likely the only thing we'll see prior to going into next week.
Temperatures are also likely to get quite warm with highs in the mid 50's through the middle of the week. You can see on the GFS Ensemble Mean temp anomaly below that most of the west will be quite warm next week and above average.
We're still waiting for a real storm... and we might have to keep waiting.
Keep the faith..
Till the next one... Mike out.
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