Utah Daily Snow

Heads up, there may be fresher snow! Read the latest Utah Daily Snow

By Evan Thayer, Forecaster Posted 7 years ago October 24, 2016

Case of the Mondays

Summary:

Rain showers likely today and tonight with snow levels up at or above 10,000 feet.  Additional moisture possible later this week, with high snow levels again.

Details:

A system in the eastern Pacific is pulling moisture up into Utah today into tonight.  Widespread showers likely.  Unfortunately, there isn't any cold air to work with, so snow levels will remain very high.  Only the tops of the higher resorts should see any snow.

A break mid-week before more another system moves into the region Friday night into Saturday.  Right now, this system looks to mostly pass to our west then north.  We should still see some showers, but again, the snow levels will be high.  The overall pattern over the next week to ten days looks like this:

1024_heights

You can see, if you look closely, that I drew some red arrows.  This indicates the general storm track.  Essentially, storms drop down into that trough off the pacific.  This is a highly amplified pattern.  These storms then close-off for a bit off the SoCal coast where they moderate, losing their cold air.  Eventually, they get ejected east and north but weaken considerably as they encounter high pressure.  We are left with weakened systems that lack in cold air.  Not a pattern conducive to Wasatch snowfall.

For the next week, this pattern is going to continually reload itself.  With one system replacing another after it gets ejected out of the trough.  The hope is that by early next week, the pattern becomes a bit more zonal (less amplified), which would allow systems to maintain their strength and cold air and progress better east into Utah.  As of right now, this is just a hope.  Last night's Euro keeps the current pattern in place through the end of the month into November.  This morning's 06z GFS is the most optimistic model run we've had in several days, bringing in better storms at the end of the month and first week of November.  Not sure I buy this scenario yet as the GFS tends to be a bit more fickle.

So...  A bit of frustration for those of us who are ready to start building a base.  The good news is that it's still October.  Lots that can happen over the coming weeks before the lifts are scheduled to start spinning.

Evan | OpenSnow

About Our Forecaster

Evan Thayer

Forecaster

To Evan, 'The Greatest Snow on Earth' is more than just a motto - it’s a way of life. In 2010, he started Wasatch Snow Forecast as a way to share the best powder days with his fellow snow-lovers. Evan brings the same quality forecasts and weather discussions to OpenSnow and hopes you enjoy skiing/riding Utah as much as he does.

Free OpenSnow App