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By Sam Collentine, Meteorologist Posted 3 hours ago February 5, 2025
Forecast Verification: January 31, 2025 5-Day Snowfall
OpenSnow prides itself on providing credible and accurate mountain weather forecasts, while also being transparent about our mistakes.
We looked back at the 5-day snow forecast from January 31, 2025, to compare against how much snow fell through Tuesday, February 4, 2025, at popular ski resorts with reliable snow reporting data across the Western United States.
Palisades Tahoe 5-Day Snow Forecast = 51"
Palisades Tahoe 5-Day Snow Report = 38" (-13")
5-Day Snow Forecast Accuracy: 75% or 13" over-forecasted
Heavenly 5-Day Snow Forecast = 24"
Heavenly 5-Day Snow Report = 18" (-6")
5-Day Snow Forecast Accuracy: 75% or 6" over-forecasted
Crystal Mountain 5-Day Snow Forecast = 24"
Crystal Mountain 5-Day Snow Report = 23" (-1")
5-Day Snow Forecast Accuracy: 96% or 1" over-forecasted
Mt. Bachelor 5-Day Snow Forecast = 23"
Mt. Bachelor 5-Day Snow Report = 23" (0")
5-Day Snow Forecast Accuracy: 100%
Brundage 5-Day Snow Forecast = 31"
Brundage 5-Day Snow Report = 47" (+16")
5-Day Snow Forecast Accuracy: 66% or 16" under-forecasted
Jackson Hole 5-Day Snow Forecast = 26"
Jackson Hole 7-Day Snow Report = 33" (+7")
5-Day Snow Forecast Accuracy: 79% or 7" under-forecasted
Alta 5-Day Snow Forecast = 16"
Alta 5-Day Snow Report = 13" (-3")
5-Day Snow Forecast Accuracy: 82% or 3" over-forecasted
Park City 5-Day Snow Forecast = 14"
Park City 5-Day Snow Report = 9" (-5")
5-Day Snow Forecast Accuracy: 64% or 5" over-forecasted
Steamboat 5-Day Snow Forecast = 10"
Steamboat 5-Day Snow Report = 10" (0")
5-Day Snow Forecast Accuracy: 100%
Adding up these ski resort 5-day snow forecasts from January 31, 2025, and comparing them against the 5-day snow report as of February 4, 2025, we over-forecasted by 2% or scored 98% against the forecast.
- January 31, 2025, 5-Day Total Snow Forecast: 219"
- February 4, 2025, 5-Day Total Snow Report: 214"
- 5-Day Snow Forecast Accuracy: 98%
Questions? Send an email to [email protected] and we'd be more than happy to take a look at the snow forecast for a particular ski resort and compare it against what fell and/or against another weather app.
Sam Collentine
About The Author
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