Saturday Afternoon update: 

18z NAM is in as well as 12z GFS and ECMWF.  If anything, models are even more optimistic with precipitation amounts in the storm.  Temps in most recent model runs are also just a touch colder -- so hopefully snow levels stay down closer to 7,000 feet tomorrow.  Not too much to update.  Amounts thru Monday evening still look good... Upper part of the Cottonwoods could easily see over 2 feet.  Also, the high elevations north of I-80 could see similar amounts above 8,000 feet.  PC should see a bit less, but still 10-16" possible on the upper mountain.  Base elevations are much more uncertain, especially the lower resort bases, which could see rain for parts of the event.   One thing is for sure... We are going to see a lot of precip between now and Monday afternoon.

A bit of lower density snow has been falling today.  When the temps warm and the snow gets heavier tonight, it will create an upside down scenario.  Avalanche watches/warnings have been hoisted.  I would recommend NOT venturing into the backcountry until this snow has had a chance to settle, but if you do, please please please consult the UAC beforehand.

In other news, the GFS aligned closer to the EC with regard to the Christmas storm.  I'm still not sold until I see a couple more runs, but at this point a Christmas powder day is still in the cards. More info in the AM...

Until then, enjoy this latest NAM projecting MASSIVE snowfall for the area through Monday evening...

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