We'll see sunny, calm, and warm weather for Sunday and most of Thanksgiving week. The exception will be a chance of snow around Wednesday, November 23, and maybe another chance of snow around Sunday, November 27. It won't be until about November 29 and beyond that a more potent storm could bring more significant snowfall.
Short Term Forecast
Saturday was a gorgeous day across Colorado with not a cloud in the sky and daytime high temperatures in the 20s. There is still limited inbounds terrain open (with the exception of Wolf Creek), so despite a decent snowpack, keep your expectations in check for what's available to ski and ride with lift access.
Sunday will be another day like Saturday with sunny skies and high temperatures in the 20s. A quick check of Sunday morning's radar shows that there is nothing happening close to Colorado with the most interesting weather news being the lake-effect snow in the northeast with multi-foot totals near Buffalo, New York.
For the start of Thanksgiving week, our calm weather will continue with Monday and Tuesday once again offering sunshine and high temperatures in the 30s.
There will be two chances for snow throughout the next eight days, though, both chances are low chances.
The first possibility for snow will be around Wednesday, November 23. The European and Canadian models keep us dry. In contrast, the American GFS and the German ICON model show the storm sliding through northern Colorado with light snow for the northern mountains (and maybe a few other mountains).
The second possibility for snow will be around Sunday, November 27. This time, the European model is a bit more excited about snow while other models show little to no snow.
I'll keep an eye on both potential storms on November 23 and November 27, but even if they do bring snow, I think accumulations will be light.
Looking further ahead, our best chance for significant snow in the foreseeable future will start around November 29 and last for a few days into early December. Most models show 'something' happening during this time but there is of yet no consistency in the forecasts about the timing or amount of any snow.
I wish I had snowier news, but so it is!
Thanks for reading!
PS - I took this survey about "Sliding With Respect" and it would be wonderful if you could contribute your thoughts as well. The survey is being run by a group at Fort Lewis College in Durango. Take the survey.
PPS - I have two more in-person talks planned for early December. I hope to see you there, and maybe significant snow will return by these dates;-)
Upcoming In-Person Presentations
Join me for in-person presentations this fall. These talks are fun (yes, powder science IS fun:-), and I'll discuss thoughts about the upcoming season and snow forecasting tips and tricks. Also, your attendance at many of these talks supports a local non-profit, so thank you for coming!
- Tue, Dec 6. Summit County
- Presentation in the evening
- More details soon!
- Fri, Dec 9. Basalt (Bristlecone Mountain Sports)
- 700pm Doors Open & Refreshments
- 730pm Presentation by Joel Gratz
- Register here
- Proceeds benefit Roaring Fork Conservancy
New Feature: Forecast Anywhere
You can now get a forecast for any location (on land) across the globe, and you can save any of these "Custom Locations" as a favorite.
Any "Custom Location" comes with estimated 24-hour snowfall. This means that you can set a "Custom Location" for your favorite backcountry spot and get estimated snowfall and estimated snowfall history. Since most backcountry areas do not have snow measurement equipment located at that exact spot, this feature will be a useful way to get a general estimate of how much snow has fallen.
To set your first "Custom Location", make sure that you are using the latest version of our iOS or Android apps (this works on our website, too!), then go to the Map tab, tap any spot on the map, and you're on the way to creating your first "Custom Location". You can learn more about Forecast Anywhere in this short how-to article.
Being able to get the forecast and save points as "Custom Locations" means that you can use our forecast data for any place you'd like to go - for backcountry skiing, camping, or even to see how much we think it'll snow in your backyard :-) And remember that "Custom Locations" works worldwide, so if you're traveling to a spot on the globe where we don't have a resort-based forecast (we have forecasts for many spots outside the US), go ahead and set up a "Custom Location".
And the last note is that "Custom Locations" are private and no other OpenSnow users will be able to see the "Custom Locations" that you create.
Please check out this new feature and let us know what you think!
Steamboat, Bluebird Backcountry, Granby, Beaver Creek, Vail, Ski Cooper, Copper, Breckenridge, Keystone, Loveland, Arapahoe Basin, Winter Park, Berthoud Pass, Eldora, Rocky Mountain National Park, Cameron Pass
Along the Divide
Loveland, Arapahoe Basin, Winter Park, Berthoud Pass
East of the Divide
Eldora, Echo, Rocky Mountain National Park, Cameron Pass
Aspen, Sunlight, Monarch, Crested Butte, Irwin, Powderhorn
Telluride, Silverton – north side of the southern mountains | Purgatory, Wolf Creek – south side of the southern mountains