Colorado Daily Snow
By Joel Gratz, Founding Meteorologist Posted 14 days ago February 13, 2024
Tuesday will be dry, then we will see multiple moderate storms, mostly targeting the northern and central mountains. The timing should be light snow on Wednesday, steadier snow on Friday, and another round of snow from Sunday into Monday. After that, there could be another storm around Feb 22-24 and again around Feb 26-28.
Short Term Forecast
Monday was a mixed day with clouds and a few snowflakes over the northern mountains, and sunny and dry conditions over the central and southern mountains.
I expect mostly sunny skies across all mountains with a high temperature in the 20s. This could be the sunniest day of the week for most northern and central mountains as there will be more clouds and some snow during the next few days.
Three Chances for Snow
During the rest of this week and throughout the weekend, multiple storms will quickly move from west to east across the central Rockies. It has been impossible to figure out the timing of each of these fast-moving systems, but this morning, there is more consensus among the forecast models about when we can expect snow.
- Wednesday, Feb. 14
Light snow is likely over the northern mountains and maybe a few central mountains as well. Snow totals should be light, ranging from a coating to an inch or two.
- Thursday and Friday, Feb 15-16
Multiple waves of snow will move across the northern and central mountains from Thursday afternoon through Saturday morning. I think total snowfall will average 3-6 inches, and the best chance for the softest turns will be on Friday and/or Saturday morning. Light snow could touch the northern part of the southern mountains as well, though the most snow should fall near and north of I-70.
- Sunday and Monday, Feb 18-19
Another fast-moving storm should bring snow to the northern and central mountains from Sunday into Monday, and maybe the softest snow will be on Monday morning.
The latest snow forecast from the European model is believable, showing total snowfall from Wednesday to next Monday in the 8+ inch range for some northwestern areas and in the 3-8-ish range for most other northern and central mountains. The caveat is (of course) that this is just one run of one model, so the details will change during the coming days, though this is a good first look at the forecast.
To summarize, there will be snow on Wednesday, Friday, and Sunday into Monday, this snow should target the northern and central mountains, accumulations will likely be in the 3-8 inch range, and the best chance for softer snow or even powder conditions will be on Friday, Saturday morning, and Monday morning.
The longer-range forecast is becoming a bit clearer.
Following the snow on Wednesday, Friday, and Sunday into Monday, we will likely see drier weather early next week, and then the next round of snow could be around Thursday, February 22 to Saturday, February 24. We could then see another break for 1-3 days, with the next round of snow sometime in the range of Monday, February 26 to Wednesday, February 28.
Description: The graphic above shows 51 versions of the European EPS ensemble model (top) on the y-axis (vertical) and 15 days from left to right on the x-axis (horizontal). Each colored rectangle shows a chance for precipitation, with grey equaling little precipitation, green equaling light precipitation, and blues and oranges showing significant precipitation. The more the colors are aligned vertically, the higher the confidence in the forecast.
At the moment, all of the potential storms during the next 15 days look to be in the 'moderate' category and it does not appear that any single storm will bring a lot of snow, but consistent refreshes are a good thing, and maybe one of these systems will surprise us on the upside.
My next update will be Wednesday morning.
Thanks for reading!
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