Things look pretty calm for the next week or so, with only a slight chance of light snow over the coming weekend. We will see periods of sun and clouds, with temperatures a bit above normal during this time. The next chance for significant snow looks to be around January 24th.
Short Term Forecast
Well, there is not a whole lot to talk about today, so this post will be on the shorter side. For the next week, through at least January 23rd, I don't see any sings for significant snow. We will fluctuate between cloudy and partly cloudy skies for the most part, with above normal temperatures.
There is a chance for light some with snow across the central and eastern Alps this weekend, on Saturday and Sunday, but accumulations look very light, with just a trace to a few cms possible.
Around January 23rd, some of the long range models I look at are showing a return to active weather, with the storm track sagging south over the Alps. However, not all the models are showing this pattern change, so confidence remains low at this time. To illustrate the difference, I will show the upper level patterns form the American and European models below.
You can see the upper level area of low pressure, or storminess, is over Europe in the first image. In the second image, you see yellows over Europe, indicating a storm blocking ridge. These are two very different scenarios. Although it's not surprising to see model differences 10 days out, in this case, it just gives me low confidence in the possible pattern change.