Mammoth Daily Snow

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By Mike Korotkin, Meteorologist Posted 4 months ago November 28, 2023

Winter Teasing

Summary

Dry and sunny Tuesday, Wednesday, and most of Thursday. Thursday night snow showers enter the region. They could continue through Saturday but with very limited accumulations. Next week still looks quite dry, and on the warm side but there's a chance or 2 of a passing snow shower.

Short Term Forecast

Tuesday - Wednesday 

Today and tomorrow will be dry and sunny. Temps will be warmest today for the rest of the week with highs in the upper 30's at the bases and low 30's on the mtn. By tomorrow we get into the low 30's for highs. Winds will be out of the South-Southwest or Southwest over the next 2 days up to 30 MPH on the summit. 

Thursday - Saturday Snow Shower Chances

The weak system is still just as weak this morning with very limited moisture. I'm not gonna spend too much time talking about it, as there's really nothing to it. Thurday night we could see the heaviest snow showers. Friday into Saturday there are chances on some model runs that we could see additional precip, but the amounts would be very minimal. 

My forecast is for 1 - 3 inches across the mtn, with Main Lodge likely not getting more than 2 inches. 

Temps, Snow Levels, & Winds

It will be quite cool starting Thursday. Highs will be in the low 30's and that should last into Saturday. Snow levels will be in the 3,500 to 4K FT range, so this will be an all-snow event in town as well. Overall, winds don't look very strong for this system. The summit might see gusts up to 35 - 40 MPH out fo the West-Northwest and then West by Saturday. 

I wish I had more to say about this system, but unfortunately, most of the energy continues to stay to the North and our friends in Tahoe should see close to double if not triple the amounts we see.  

Extended Forecast

Next week has a few mixed signals this morning. The GFS has a few small brush-by-storms for the middle of next week. But the overall message is that it will be dry and much more mild at least through next Wednesday. We could see highs in the mid to even upper 40's. 

If a system does make it this far South the current model consensus is that it wouldn't be very strong and that it would look similar to our storm this week. We'd be measuring the storms in a mere couple of inches and certainly not feet. 

It's more likely than not that the ridge of high pressure that builds over the region will take control for the whole work week and that we will stay high and dry. I wish it weren't so... but after last winter the Weather gods might be giving us a little early season break. 

I'm sure things will break later in the month and we get a good storm or 2... 

Till the next one... Mike out. 

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About Our Forecaster

Mike Korotkin

Meteorologist

Mike graduated from UC Berkeley with a Bachelor’s in Atmospheric Science and received his Masters in Atmospheric Science at the University of Nevada Reno. He grew up in Southern California by the beach, but quickly realized he loved the mountains, so his first memories were of the SoCal mountains where he saw snow for the first time. He started skiing in his 20’s and is now an avid skier and backpacker at locations up and down the Sierra Nevada Mountains.

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