Mid-Atlantic Daily Snow

Heads up, there may be fresher snow! Read the latest Mid-Atlantic Daily Snow

By Zach Butler, Meteorologist Posted 2 months ago December 11, 2023

Snow Exits, Some Lake Effect on Monday

Summary

Snow moves to the northeast Monday morning with lake effect snow developing in the northern and western Mid-Atlantic. Light lake effect snow showers will continue until Tuesday early morning. The rest of the week will be dry with a couple of lake effect snow showers on Wednesday in central NY. Overnight snowmaking this week should keep slopes fresh throughout the Mid-Atlantic.

Short Term Forecast

Snow is exiting the northeastern Mid-Atlantic on Monday morning after several inches of snow fell throughout the Mid-Atlantic. The forecast held through for the low end of snow totals, due to rain changing to snow slightly later, as well as the warm ground preventing snow from accumulating quickly. The Catskills saw the most snow (3-8 inches), check out Belleayre and Hunter Mountain on Monday morning. 

Forecast on Monday:

Snow will move out of the northeastern Mid-Atlantic quickly on Monday morning. As the storm exits, lake effect snow showers will continue to fall in the northern and western Mid-Atlantic. Snow showers will dissipate in the western Mid-Atlantic Monday afternoon but continue through the northwestern Mid-Atlantic and central NY on Monday evening through early Tuesday morning. 

Light snow accumulations of 1-4 inches are likely, which will keep slopes fresh and add to the storm totals since Sunday evening. Below is a look at the HRRR model's forecasted snow accumulations from Monday, December 11th through Tuesday, December 12th.

Forecast on Tuesday and Wednesday:

The weather will be dry and mostly clear. Temperatures will stay seasonable, which will allow overnight snowmaking. A couple of lake effect snow showers could fly in central NY on Wednesday evening, but snow accumulations will be minimal to light of a trace - 2 inches.

Below is a look at the snowmaking conditions at Seven Springs, Snowshoe, Massanutten, and Beech Mountain this week. 

Forecast on Thursday and Friday:

Dry and partly sunny weather will continue as storms stay to the north into Canada. Overnight snowmaking will continue throughout the northern half of the Mid-Atlantic.

Extended Forecast

The next chance of precipitation will come from a week storm passing through southern Canada over the Saturday, December 16th, and Sunday, December 17th weekend. This is a slight chance of light precipitation otherwise the Mid-Atlantic will continue to be dry.

The extended outlook continues to not look good as a major pattern shift is gearing up across the US. A large upper-level ridge will stay stationary and cause dry and inactive weather. A few chances of precipitation are possible but any chances of snow are low to none, and would only be for the northern Mid-Atlantic.

There is a very small chance of hope if a wave of moisture affecting California can keep a southerly storm track and move toward the East Coast. However, very little cold air would be associated with this storm if it does make it toward us.

Below is a look at the Climate Prediction Center’s (CPC) probability outlook of temperatures (top) and precipitation (bottom) from Saturday, December 16th through Wednesday, December 20th. 

Have a great start to your week, I will have the next forecast on Wednesday.

Zach Butler

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About Our Forecaster

Zach Butler

Meteorologist

Zach Butler is currently a PhD student in Water Resources Science at Oregon State University. He just finished his master's in Applied Meteorology at Plymouth State University in New Hampshire. Originally from Maryland, he has grown up hiking and skiing up and down the East Coast. When not doing coursework, he enjoys cooking and exploring the pacific northwest on his bike.

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