Mid-Atlantic Daily Snow

Heads up, there may be fresher snow! Read the latest Mid-Atlantic Daily Snow

By Zach Butler, Meteorologist Posted 4 months ago December 13, 2023

Lake Effect in Central NY Wednesday - Thursday

Summary

This week will be quiet except for a few lake effect snow showers affecting central NY on Wednesday evening through Thursday morning. These snow showers will bring 1-5 inches of snow. A weak storm could move to the north this weekend otherwise quiet weather continues.

Short Term Forecast

Fresh snow is still on the slopes from the early week storm. This is already a better season for many resorts in the southern half of the Mid-Atlantic. Check out Massanutten and Wintergreen on Tuesday, which saw around 4 inches of snow on Monday, and plan to open as soon as Friday, December 15th.

Forecast on Wednesday and Thursday:

A weak disturbance will move northwest winds into NY on Wednesday, which will be enough to develop a few lake effect snow showers off of the warm Lake Ontario. These snow showers have already developed as of Wednesday morning and will continue to move through resorts in central NY.

Winds will shift to the north-northwest on Wednesday evening and move snow showers further south into southern NY along the PA border through Thursday morning. Snow showers will dissipate on Thursday morning. Total snow accumulations will be light of 1-5 inches. 

Below is a look at the HRRR model's forecasted snow accumulations from Wednesday, December 13th through Thursday, December 14th.

Forecast on Friday, Saturday, and Sunday:

The weather will continue to be quiet throughout the East Coast. A weak storm could move through southern Canada this weekend and move a few rain showers through the northern Mid-Atlantic during the Saturday and Sunday, December 17th time frame. 

If precipitation does move through, minimal accumulations are expected. Otherwise, dry and warming temperatures are expected. Some overnight snowmaking will still be possible, but high temperatures will be well above freezing.

Extended Forecast

The "very small chance" I mentioned in the previous forecast is now a "small chance" as a storm system will move through the southeastern US and potentially along the East Coast on Monday, December 18th into Tuesday, December 19th.

Right now, the storm would stay off the coast, but only by a small amount. This small amount could change in the coming forecasts, especially because it is still a week away. The issue though is the lack of cold air through the East Coast. The only chance of cold enough air for snow would be in the far northern and higher terrain of the western Mid-Atlantic.

Below is a look at the Euro model’s ensemble predicted upper-level pattern from Monday, December 18th through Tuesday, December 19th. The black arrow is the likely track but the red dotted line shows the potential track that could affect the East Coast.

The blue colors show cooler air that will be associated with the storm track. 

If this storm does not come to fruition, mostly dry and above-normal temperatures will continue throughout the Mid-Atlantic.

Thanks for reading, I will have the next forecast on Friday.

Zach Butler

Announcements

Download Offline Trail Maps

Before losing service on the mountain, add ski resort trail maps to your Favorites screen in the OpenSnow app and download them to view offline.

  1. Go to Favorites > Trail Maps > Add Trail Maps
  2. Search for the ski resort and select the trail map
  3. Go back to Favorites > Trail Maps
  4. Tap the cloud icon in the lower right
  5. Blue Cloud Icon = Available Offline

You can also go to Settings > Your Favorites > Trail Maps in the OpenSnow app to edit and/or view any trail map that you have already favorited.

Favorites → Trail Maps

About Our Forecaster

Zach Butler

Meteorologist

Zach Butler is currently a PhD student in Water Resources Science at Oregon State University. He just finished his master's in Applied Meteorology at Plymouth State University in New Hampshire. Originally from Maryland, he has grown up hiking and skiing up and down the East Coast. When not doing coursework, he enjoys cooking and exploring the pacific northwest on his bike.

Free OpenSnow App