Mid-Atlantic Daily Snow

Heads up, there may be fresher snow! Read the latest Mid-Atlantic Daily Snow

By Zach Butler, Meteorologist Posted 1 month ago February 26, 2024

Mid-Week Rain with Warm Temperatures

Summary

This week will start mostly dry with above-normal temperatures in the 50s and 60s. The next storm arrives late Tuesday, bringing widespread rain on Wednesday. A strong cold front moves through Wednesday evening with a brief change over from rain to snow with snow accumulations of less than 1 inch. A couple of snow showers are likely on Thursday but then we turn dry and warm again.

Short Term Forecast

This past weekend brought light snow through West Virginia, the southern Mid-Atlantic, and the Smokies on Saturday, February 24th. Only 1-4 inches of snow fell, but the timing of this for the weekend made it a fun time on the slopes. Check out Timberline on Sunday morning. 

Forecast on Monday, February 26th and Tuesday, February 27th:

This week will start mostly dry and clear as the storm track and cold air shift to the west and north. This type of weather pattern will bring above-average temperatures, making slopes soft. Spring fever will be coming to a resort near you.

On Monday, a couple of rain showers could pop up but it should stay mostly dry with high temperatures ranging from the 40s to the 60s. On Tuesday, A few rain showers could move into the western Mid-Atlantic through NC, especially during the afternoon with high temperatures ranging from the 40s to the 50s. Overnight low temperatures will not fall below freezing to start this week.

Forecast on Wednesday, February 28th and Thursday, February 29th:

The next storm system will bring changes on Wednesday and Thursday. This storm will track well to our west and north, bringing widespread rain on Wednesday as high temperatures rise into the 50s with gusty winds (>30 mph). Rain accumulations will range from 0.1 inches in the far eastern Mid-Atlantic to over 1 inch in the western Mid-Atlantic. Below is a look at the Euro model's forecasted rain accumulations on Wednesday, February 28th.

This storm will have a strong cold front, which will move through Wednesday evening into Thursday early morning. This will change rain to snow briefly for the higher terrain and bring quick snow accumulations of a trace - 1 inch.

Colder air and northwest winds will develop a few lake effect snow showers on Thursday with snow accumulations of a trace - 2 inches. Below is a look at the Euro's forecasted snow accumulations on Wednesday, February 28th and Thursday, February 29th.

Forecast on Friday, March 1st:

On Friday, the forecast is looking a bit more interesting. A weak storm system will move through the southeast of the US and slowly approach the southern Mid-Atlantic. This storm has a very small chance of moving further north but it would be cold enough for snow through the higher terrain. This could bring a few snow showers to NC and the southern Mid-Atlantic but I have low confidence in this right now. 

Extended Forecast

The weather pattern continues to show major signs of spring as the storm track and cold air remain well to the west and north of the East Coast. This is not welcome news to start March, and I do not see any significant chances of snow for the week of March 4th. 

If you want to have spring skiing start early, this upcoming weekend into next week will be for you. If you want snow and more winter, head to the Western US. There are some signals colder air could return during the second week of March, but that is still very far away to have any confidence in that. 

Below is a look at the Climate Prediction Center’s (CPC) probability outlook of temperatures (top) and precipitation (bottom) from Monday, March 4th through Sunday, March 10th. 

Have a great start to the week, I will have the next forecast on Wednesday, February 28th.

Zach Butler

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About Our Forecaster

Zach Butler

Meteorologist

Zach Butler is currently a PhD student in Water Resources Science at Oregon State University. He just finished his master's in Applied Meteorology at Plymouth State University in New Hampshire. Originally from Maryland, he has grown up hiking and skiing up and down the East Coast. When not doing coursework, he enjoys cooking and exploring the pacific northwest on his bike.

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