Mid-Atlantic Daily Snow

Heads up, there may be fresher snow! Read the latest Mid-Atlantic Daily Snow

By Zach Butler, Meteorologist Posted 1 month ago February 28, 2024

Strong Cold Front with Backside Snow Showers

Summary

The next storm brings scattered rain on Wednesday with a strong cold front changing rain to light snow briefly. A few scattered snow showers and lake effect continue overnight into Thursday morning with a trace - 4+ inches of snow north and west. A weak storm brings scattered rain on Friday with a small chance of snow in WV and NC. Saturday clears with more unsettled weather by Sunday.

Short Term Forecast

Conditions throughout the Mid-Atlantic are feeling like spring with temperatures in the 50s and 60s. Changes are coming our way with a mix of rain and snow over the coming days.

Forecast on Wednesday, February 28th and Thursday, February 29th:

The next storm system will bring scattered rain on Wednesday morning with a strong cold front moving through during the afternoon and evening. This cold front will have brief heavy rain on the front side of it, with a rapid drop in temperatures behind it. Winds will be gusty upwards of 60 mph with this front with a few thunderstorms likely as well.

A few areas will see rain change to snow briefly on the backside of the front, adding a trace - 1 inch. A few scattered snow showers will continue behind the cold front on Wednesday night into Thursday morning in the northern and western Mid-Atlantic with snow accumulations of a trace - 2 inches.

A strong lake effect band will develop through central NY early Thursday morning and continue into the early afternoon. This band will bring very localized snow with accumulations of 3-6+ inches. Song and Labrador look to have the best bet to see more than 6 inches if this band can station itself over them. Below is a look at the HRRR model's forecasted snow accumulations on Wednesday, February 28th and Thursday, February 29th. A trace - 1 inch is possible in NC.

Forecast from Friday, March 1st through Sunday, March 3rd:

The next storm will approach the south on Friday. This storm managed to gain enough strength and will track north through the East Coast. Despite a coastal track, there is little to no cold air, and the storm will strengthen minimally. This will bring light to moderate rain to the southern half of the Mid-Atlantic with scattered rain further north. A few wet snowflakes are likely in the higher terrain of WV and NC with minimal to light snow accumulations of a trace - 1 inch.

This chance of snow has grown over the last day so we will see how the trends develop and whether this storm can gain strength to bring enough cold air for more chances of snow.

Scattered rain will move to the east on Saturday morning with clearing and warming throughout the Mid-Atlantic. The forecast on Sunday remains uncertain with the possibility of another storm bringing rain from the south, but I do not have a lot of confidence in this right now.

Below is a look at the GFS model’s depiction of precipitation type and intensity from Friday morning, March 1st through Saturday evening, March 2nd. Notice the few areas of pink, which could bring snow to WV and NC.

Extended Forecast

There continue to be limited chances of snow in the extended forecast. The spring-like weather will continue into the week of March 4th as the storm track and cold air remain active to the west and north. Several chances of rain are likely during the week, but these storms will track to the west, with no cold air for the East Coast. These storms will have trailing cold fronts, which could change rain to snow briefly but minimal to no snow accumulations are likely with this type of weather pattern.

Below is a look at the GFS’s ensemble predicted upper-level pattern from Monday, March 4th through Saturday, March 9th.

Description: The cool, blue colors show cooler air that will be associated with the storm track to the west. The warm, orange colors show warmer air over the Eastern US.

Thanks for reading, I’ll have the next update on Friday, March 1st.

Zach Butler

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Zach Butler

Meteorologist

Zach Butler is currently a PhD student in Water Resources Science at Oregon State University. He just finished his master's in Applied Meteorology at Plymouth State University in New Hampshire. Originally from Maryland, he has grown up hiking and skiing up and down the East Coast. When not doing coursework, he enjoys cooking and exploring the pacific northwest on his bike.

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