Mid-Atlantic Daily Snow

Heads up, there may be fresher snow! Read the latest Mid-Atlantic Daily Snow

By Zach Butler, Meteorologist Posted 1 month ago March 1, 2024

Rain with a Couple Wet Snowflakes

Summary

The next storm moves through the Mid-Atlantic on Friday and Saturday with light to moderate rain. A couple of snowflakes are likely in the higher terrain in NC, WV, and NY with minimal snow accumulations. The weather clears on Sunday with more light rain into the week of Monday, March 4th. Temperatures will continue to be above normal through this forecast.

Short Term Forecast

Colder air and some snow have returned to the Mid-Atlantic on Friday morning. The strong cold front on Wednesday brought minimal snow accumulations and lake effect snow brought light snow through New York. Check out the snow reports on Wednesday and Thursday.

Forecast from Friday, March 1st through Sunday, March 3rd:

Active weather will continue across the Mid-Atlantic with a storm system moving north along the East Coast. This storm system will strengthen minimally and will push warm air into the region with widespread light and moderate rain. This rain will push north on Friday and reach southern PA by the evening. Rain will continue to move north on Saturday and move out of the Mid-Atlantic late Saturday night.

There will be a few pockets of cold air through the higher terrain in NC, WV, and NY. This will cause a few areas of wet snowflakes and mixed precipitation, but this will cause minimal to no snow accumulations. If precipitation becomes heavier, this could bring light snow of 1-2 inches in WV and NC, but I think this chance is very small.

Below is a look at the NAM model’s depiction of precipitation type and intensity from Friday morning, March 1st through Saturday evening, March 2nd. This rain will be a cold air with temperatures in the 30s and 40s. 

The eastern and southern half of the Mid-Atlantic will see the heaviest rain with some areas seeing over 1 inch. Below is a look at the NAM's forecasted rain accumulations on Friday, March 1st and Saturday,  March 2nd.

A majority of precipitation will move out on Sunday and it will be mostly dry. There could be a brief passing rain shower for the southern half of the Mid-Atlantic with a mix of sun and clouds. Temperatures will warm into the 40s and 50s.

Slopes this weekend will be soft with the rain and warm temperatures. The Catskills will be the coldest area with overnight temperatures around freezing, but above freezing overnight lows elsewhere.

Forecast on Monday, March 4th and Tuesday, March 5th:

Next week will start mostly dry and partly sunny with above-normal temperatures in the 50s and 60s. There is still a small chance of a brief passing rain shower on Monday but most areas will stay dry. On Tuesday, a storm system moving through the Midwest will approach the western Mid-Atlantic during the evening. I think we will stay mostly dry with a small chance of an evening rain shower to the west.

Extended Forecast

The storm system in the Midwest will approach the Mid-Atlantic and bring rain on Wednesday, March 6th. This storm will track well to the north and the cold front will be weak. This cold front will lower temperatures behind it, but not cold enough for snow. A few rain showers continue on Thursday, March 7th.

The weather pattern will continue to be active with another storm approaching from the south on Friday, March 8th. This storm's track is uncertain this far out, but will most likely be to the west. This storm could have colder air with it and will bring the next chance of snow to the northern half of the Mid-Atlantic.

After this storm, there continue to be very few signals of cold air. We will continue to see storm systems move into the region, but they will bring mostly rain. To get some hope of snow and cold air, I am using some very long-range outlooks into the week of Monday, March 18th. These very long-range forecasts are uncertain, but they can show signals of future weather patterns. 

Below is a look at the Euro's ensemble predicted upper-level pattern from Monday, March 18th through Monday, March 25th.

Description: The cool, blue colors show cooler air that will be associated with the storm track.

While this is a very far away forecast, it gives us some hope that winter is not over yet.

Have a great Friday and weekend, I will have the next forecast on Monday, March 4th.

Zach Butler

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About Our Forecaster

Zach Butler

Meteorologist

Zach Butler is currently a PhD student in Water Resources Science at Oregon State University. He just finished his master's in Applied Meteorology at Plymouth State University in New Hampshire. Originally from Maryland, he has grown up hiking and skiing up and down the East Coast. When not doing coursework, he enjoys cooking and exploring the pacific northwest on his bike.

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