Midwest Daily Snow

Heads up, there may be fresher snow! Read the latest Midwest Daily Snow

By Croix Christenson, Meteorologist Posted 1 month ago February 25, 2024

Hit The Slopes While They Are Open

Summary

A warming trend will continue into early next week along with increasing rain and snow chances and the upside of some powder turns. The mild pattern overall likely continues into early March, with days in the 40s to 60s at times.

Short Term Forecast

General Observations:

  • Timber Ridge has announced Sunday will be the last day of the season
  • I expect to see more announcements over the next few weeks of resorts closing for the season
  • We have faced an uphill battle all season long and a colder and snowier pattern seems unlikely for the next 7-10 days
  • Over the next week, we have one solid chance of widespread snow sandwiched between two very mild stretches with highs reaching the 40s to 60s for much of the Midwest
  • Impacts on operations possible due to warm temps/rain

Snow Chances Sunday, Feb. 25 to Sunday, March 3

North Shore Lake Superior

  • Sunday, mainly 30s for highs (maybe 40s for Duluth resorts)
  • Monday the best chance of seeing a little snow is for the Thunder Bay resorts with mild temps, 40s and 50s for the US resorts
  • Tuesday into Wednesday we see rain change to snow for the US resorts while the Thunder Bay resorts may remain mainly snow
  • The best day to score some turns in fresh snow will be Wednesday for the region
    • Most models show 1-4" for US resorts and 2-6" for Thunder Bay resorts
  • Brief cool down before warmer temps return by late next week

South Shore Lake Superior

  • A quick burst of snow is expected on Sunday for Searchmont, offering the upside of a few softer turns
  • 40s and 50s are likely in the UP on Monday as warm air surges north thanks to south winds.

Tuesday and Wednesday remain the days to watch for increasing chances of rain and snow. For now, I'll stick with what most models show, which is 2-8", and Wednesday as the best day for soft turns with an upside for powder turns.

Strong winds will play a factor Tuesday into Wednesday, especially for resorts near Lake Superior. Temperatures will drop rather quickly, allowing for wet/heavy snow to transition to drier/fluffier snow by Wednesday and will also kick up some lake effect snow.  

Twin Cities Region

  • No significant precip expected through Monday
  • Warm temps peaking on Monday with highs in the 50s to low 60s
  • Rain and snow chances increase Tuesday into Wednesday AM, with most models showing dusting-3" for the region, but there's still a potential that could bust.
  • A very mild pattern returns by next weekend

Central and Southern Wisconsin

  • Sunday: Highs in the 40s and 50s
  • Monday & Tuesday: Highs in the 50s and 60s
  • Rain/snow chances increase from Tuesday PM into Wednesday
    • Mainly rain for southern resorts followed by some light snow
    • Rain/snow for Granite Peak with upside of soft turns on Wednesday

Northern Lower Michigan

  • A few light rain/snow showers on Sunday from a weak system
  • Very mild by Tuesday with 50s and 60s for highs
  • Rain chances increase Tuesday/Tuesday night, with snow possible by Wednesday (TBD how much snow)

  • Mild temps return by next weekend after a brief cool down middle of the week

Southern Lower Michigan

  • Sunday: Highs in the 40s to low 50s
  • Monday: Highs in the 50s to low 60s
  • Tuesday: 60s for most if not all of the resorts?
  • Rain chances increase on Tuesday/Tuesday night
    • Maybe some light snow/snow showers on Wednesday
  • Impacts on operations likely due to warm temps/rain

Extended Forecast

Fantasy Land: Monday, March 4 to Sunday, March 10

  • Models lean mild overall, with a few cooler days possible
    • Confidence: Medium
  • Models have not budged that we likely see a larger, complex system bring rain and snow (once again the threat of more rain than we would prefer)
    • Confidence: Low to Medium
  • The first half of March overall looks to remain mild

The next forecast will be posted on Monday - thanks for reading!

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About Our Forecaster

Croix Christenson

Meteorologist

Croix grew up in Saint Paul, Minnesota where he developed his passion for the outdoors and snow. He attended the University of Wisconsin-Madison and received his BS and MS in Atmospheric Science. When not working, you will find Croix exploring his Duluth, Minnesota backyard by skiing, mountain biking, fishing, surfing, hiking with his dog Doppler, or just about any activity that gets him outside.

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