NWS snowfall reports received from 9PM Wednesday through 9AM Thursday.

Many of you across northern and central New England are probably asking the question: "Where is all the snow?" Well, it fell out of the sky, but melted on the way down to the ground. Our Wednesday evening storm was hindered by two factors: dry air and warm air. The dry air initially stunted the snowfall on the front end of the storm. Snow then turned over to sleet and freezing rain as warm air raced in much farther north than expected.

All said and done, amounts were generally about *half* of the original "higher-end" forecasts by most models and forecasters, myself included! The highest NWS reports that I'm seeing out there this morning are 11.5" in western Maine, a few 7" in reports in eastern New Hampshire, and some 8"s on the west side of the Champlain Valley. Mt. Washington up over 6000 feet reported 12" of new snow. 

Recent resort reports as of 9AM on Thursday. Note that 0" reports mean either we did not receive a report, or that there was nothing to report. 

Resorts are generally reporting in with anywhere from 5-9" of new snow with highest amounts across the northern Greens, Whites, and into Maine at Sugarloaf. We did not receive a new report from Wildcat, but their website claims 14" new on their summit, which jives with the nearby Mt. Washington observation. 

Latest radar animation as of 7:30AM on Thursday.

Current Conditions and Thursday Forecast

A bulk of the front-end snow, sleet, and freezing rain has moved out of New England and is impacting northern Maine on Thursday morning. After a brief tour in the dry slot of our storm, the backside will bring cooling temperatures and upslope snows through the afternoon.

NAM and HRRR model comparison of 12-hour snowfall for 7AM to 7PM on Thursday.

The focus of these upslope snows will be in the Green Mountains where models have anywhere from an additional 2 to 8" in the forecast (see above). This forecast should put Jay up over a foot, but overall leave the jackpots in the 12-16" range, falling short of the 18"+ anticipated at a few locations. 

OpenSnow detailed forecast through next weekend for Killington. 

A Look Ahead

After a dry stretch of weather on Friday and Saturday, with mostly cloudy skies and cooler temperatures in the upper teens and low 20s, we should see a return of more snow on Sunday with 2-4" across Vermont and portions of New Hampshire. We won't really see a break region wide with light snow lingering through the week punctuated by increased likelihood of more snows on Tuesday and Wednesday. Much of this snow will be associated with a storm track that continues to bifurcate the region with chances for rain south, mix central, and snow north. The constant trickle of snow, and trend toward colder temperatures into next week should maintain decent conditions at least as occasional powder, packed powder and machine groom. 

-Dr. Jay

Reminder: No forecast on Friday with an update likely on Saturday.