New England Daily Snow

Heads up, there may be fresher snow! Read the latest New England Daily Snow

By Jay Cordeira, Meteorologist Posted 2 months ago December 6, 2023

Light snow West and South

Summary

Light snow is falling across New York and Southern New England on Wednesday, but dry weather is expected to continue across northern New England into the weekend. A wet and windy storm arrives later Sunday into Monday.

Short Term Forecast

Following the snow event on Sunday and Monday, the Mt. Mansfield snow stake is sitting at 39" for one of the best early season totals on record. Let's hope this trend continues. 

Mt. Mansfield, Vermont Snow Stake courtesy https://matthewparrilla.com/mansfield-stake/

It is currently snowing across New York and parts of southern New England here on Wednesday morning. As a trough of cold air crosses overhead. Note the snows in southern New England are due to some ocean-effect snow, and you won't see them on radar because the Boston radar is down. These light snows have totaled just a trace of snow in New York's Capital District and 1-3" south of Boston and Cape Cod. 

Latest radar animation (ending at 6:15AM Wednesday) courtesy WSI.

Outside some light snow showers across New York and southern New England on Wednesday, the weather will be relatively quiet as we head into the weekend. The mountains should remain relatively dry with temperatures moderating into the upper 30s and low 40s by Saturday.

HRRR model forecast animation for 7AM Wednesday through 1AM Friday.

Extended Forecast

The weekend looks mostly dry with increasing clouds on Sunday. Temperatures will be warm ahead of our next system with widespread 30s and 40s on Saturday and 40s to low 50s on Sunday. Snow conditions should be okay on Saturday, but will soften through the day and turn even softer on Sunday. Rain should hold off until after last chair on Sunday across most of our resorts in New England. The Adirondack resorts may see some rain late afternoon. 

ECMWF model forecast animation for 7PM Saturday through 7PM Monday.

A wet solution is almost a guarantee according to the different model suites. Both the GFS and ECMWF, and their ensembles, are showing a relatively strong storm moving east through the Great Lakes region and bringing a warm slug of air up through New England on Sunday and Sunday night. The forecast calls for 1-3" of rain with some enhancement over elevated areas of the Catskills and Whites (where strong southerly winds will produce the best upslope rain). Even the highest elevations are looking at rain as snow levels increase to 7000-8000 feet.

GFS and ECMWF model comparison for 7PM Sunday. 

The storm will be moving fast and that should limit the amount of rain on snow. Never-the-less, the windy saturated warm air at elevation will produce plenty of fog late on Sunday into Monday that will eat away at a portion of the snowpack. Resorts can likely curb a portion of this ablation by building depth via snow making through Friday before temperatures become too warm. 

Time series of wet bulb temperature at Killington. The wet bulb is the temperature of the air if you can cool it via evaporation during the snow-making process. 

There will be limited snow on the backside of the Sunday/Sunday night storm. Current models do suggest that at least a short period of snow with and behind the cold front may be possible on Monday. The ECMWF ensemble grid has a few members with 1-2" of snow and our OpenSnow blend is also suggesting that 1-2" may be possible in the Greens. Hey, it's better than nothing. 

ECMWF ensemble grid for 24-hour snowfall through 20 December. Each grid box represents a 24-hour snowfall forecast from an individual ensemble member in Rutland, Vermont. 

Next update on Friday.

-Dr. Jay

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About Our Forecaster

Jay Cordeira

Meteorologist

Jay Cordeira is an all-around outdoor enthusiast living and working among the lakes and mountains in New England. When he’s not in the classroom teaching the next generation of meteorologists, you can find him on the trails, rivers, lakes, slabs, and backcountry of the White Mountains.

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