New Mexico Daily Snow

Heads up, there may be fresher snow! Read the latest New Mexico Daily Snow

Pattern change brewing


Thursday and Friday will be mild and calm. The weekend will be a bit cooler and breezy ahead of a storm system coming into the region late Monday into Tuesday. Models disagree on the February 7th storm but we should see at least some snow with this system. Another storm is possible around February 10th and an active period could continue into mid-February!


Welcome to February! It is a sunny and calm start to the month. But I think changes are in store as we should see a more active period between at least February 7th and 15th.

I know we are all itching for new snow so let's dive right into our next opportunity which will be late Monday into Tuesday.

There is strong agreement that a storm will drop down from the Great Basin of Nevada on Monday, February 6th. The storm should be fairly cold but is expected to be mediocre in terms of moisture. 

Models disagree on the storm's track once it arrives closer to New Mexico. 

The GFS Ensemble has the storm dropping deeper into the southwest and stalling out. This scenario would provide more opportunities for snow especially because it could tap a bit more moisture up from the Pacific. The European Ensemble has the storm moving through faster without any stalling which would likely mean less snow.

In either scenario, I am not expecting a major snow producer with the February 7th storm. But if the storm stalls some we could get a much-needed refresh. So we are definitely rooting for the GFS Ensemble at this point in time.

We could then see another storm around February 10th, with the standard disclaimer that we are looking beyond 7 days here.

And heading into mid-February storminess could remain in the southern Rockies.

The general optimism for an improved pattern in the 2nd week of February is backed up by the NOAA 8 to 14-day outlook which shows below-average temperatures and above-average precipitation. 

For now and through the weekend of February 4-5, we will enjoy the sunny blue-bird skies and the great terrain that is open thanks to the January snow.

I am cautiously optimistic that from February 7th to the 15th we will see several chances for snow and a return of our beloved Land of Enchantment powder.

Thanks for reading! I will post again on Saturday, February 4th as we hone in on the details for the February 7th-8th storm system.

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New Mexico Geography Key

Northern Mountains
→ Red River, Taos Ski Valley (north side of northern mountains - Sangre de Cristos)
→ Angel Fire (northeast side of northern mountains - Sangre de Cristos)
→ Sipapu (middle of the northern mountains - Sangre de Cristos)
→ Ski Santa Fe (south side of the northern mountains - Sangre de Cristos)
→ Pajarito (southwest side of the northern mountains - Jemez)

Central Mountains
→ Sandia Peak (Sandias)
→ Mt. Taylor backcountry (San Mateos)

Southern Mountains
→ Ski Apache (Sacramentos)
→ Ski Cloudcroft (Sacramentos)