A very happy first weekend of February to everyone! 

Saturday and Sunday will be cool and brisk in the high country with just enough sun for pleasant vibes.

On Monday into Tuesday, a mild dose of winter will return to New Mexico as a system will drop down through the Land of Enchantment.

During the first part of Monday, the storm will cross Colorado and bring westerly winds and maybe light snow flurries to northern New Mexico.

Then late Monday into Tuesday the storm will break apart and a piece of storm energy will drop south into New Mexico and bring winds from the northeast.

Right now this is looking like a very low-end storm of 1-4" spread out over the two days. 

A best-case scenario would be a few inches of fresh snow to enjoy on Tuesday morning.

Wednesday will be a dry transition day.

Then on Thursday, there is an outside chance of snow in the northern mountains. More on this possibility in my post tomorrow because today we have very little confidence. Most models have the storm missing us completely to the north, but a few show the storm grazing the northern Sangre de Cristos.

Confidence is high that February 10th to the 12th will be dry with a ridge of high-pressure building in, but also a storm brewing over the Pacific.

Then it could be game-on from February 13-15 if the extended models can continue to trend in the right direction.

This is how the state of play is shaping up for the first two weeks of February. 

With the February 6-7 storm trending on the lighter side, we will definitely need the February 13-15 storm to deliver in a big way. 

Thanks for reading! I will circle back on Sunday. 

JULIEN ROSS
[email protected]

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New Mexico Geography Key

Northern Mountains
→ Red River, Taos Ski Valley (north side of northern mountains - Sangre de Cristos)
→ Angel Fire (northeast side of northern mountains - Sangre de Cristos)
→ Sipapu (middle of the northern mountains - Sangre de Cristos)
→ Ski Santa Fe (south side of the northern mountains - Sangre de Cristos)
→ Pajarito (southwest side of the northern mountains - Jemez)

Central Mountains
→ Sandia Peak (Sandias)
→ Mt. Taylor backcountry (San Mateos)

Southern Mountains
→ Ski Apache (Sacramentos)
→ Ski Cloudcroft (Sacramentos)