New Mexico Daily Snow

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By Julien Ross, Forecaster Posted 1 month ago February 21, 2024

Pattern change brewing

Summary

Wednesday will be mild but breezy in the high country. Slightly cooler temperatures arrive Thursday and Friday before a warm weekend. February 26-28 should mark the beginning of a pattern change with lots of sub-tropical moisture and a cold system from the north. Still lots of uncertainty on snowfall potential for New Mexico.

Update

Just a quick Wednesday update.

The short-term forecast is pretty quiet with five more days of dry and relatively mild conditions in store.

Wednesday, Saturday, and Sunday will be the warmest days and also the days with some gusty winds.

A weak cold front will lower temperatures some on Thursday and Friday.

All eyes remain on February 26-28. We continue to have model alignment on two systems converging along a trough dipping down to the Four Corners.

We are still a bit too far out to get too into the details or make snowfall projections.

But let's take a glance at a few of the factors will be monitoring closely in the coming days.

The first factor will be moisture, and there should be plenty of it on the front end of the storm cycle (Monday into Tuesday) as low pressure off the coast of California will churn up sub-tropical moisture into the desert southwest.

However, this period of greatest moisture on the front end could be when temperatures are the warmest which could limit snowfall potential.

Winds should be from the west-southwest during this period of rich moisture so places like Wolf Creek will be favored first for orographic lift, and Taos Ski Valley can do well with this southwest flow and its high elevations.

The colder temperatures should arrive late Tuesday into Wednesday and we hope that we have a period of both decent moisture and cold air to maximize snowfall potential.

I would continue to pencil in Tuesday, February 27th, and Wednesday, February 28th for potential powder.

On Thursday, I will take a closer glance at wind directions for the upcoming storm cycle.

Thanks for reading!

Julien Ross
[email protected]

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Northern Mountains
→ Red River, Taos Ski Valley (north side of northern mountains - Sangre de Cristos)
→ Angel Fire (northeast side of northern mountains - Sangre de Cristos)
→ Sipapu (middle of the northern mountains - Sangre de Cristos)
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Central Mountains
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Southern Mountains
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About Our Forecaster

Julien Ross

Forecaster

Julien was born and raised in Santa Fe, New Mexico and was introduced to skiing at age 7 through the public schools subsidized ski program at Ski Santa Fe. It was love at first turn and Julien has been chasing deep powder and good mogul lines ever since. Julien grew up fascinated by weather and studied physical geography with a focus on meteorology at Northern Arizona University in Flagstaff.

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