New Mexico Daily Snow

Heads up, there may be fresher snow! Read the latest New Mexico Daily Snow

By Julien Ross, Forecaster Posted 1 month ago February 25, 2024

Snow (and wind) return Monday-Tuesday

Summary

Sunday will be a glorious spring day with mild temperatures but some gusty winds. A storm with very strong winds and moderate snow will favor the far northern Sangres late Monday through Tuesday into Wednesday. Warm temperatures will be an issue for much of the storm. In the extended range, two storms are possible around March 4-5 and March 8-9.

Short Term Forecast

One never forgets their first time up the triple chair at Ski Santa Fe or that first descent down Gayway, spreading your wings like you are flying off the edge of the world.

On Saturday, I had the honor of accompanying my close childhood friend's son, Zevi, on his first-ever triple-chair ride and flight down Gayway. Goosebumps!

Sunday will be another warm, springlike day but with gustier winds than Saturday.

Monday will be a transition day with stronger winds and clouds moving in.

By Monday evening, southwest flow will be kicking in full gear ahead of our next storm system. Temperatures will be very mild during this time late Monday but orographic lift will produce a first round of snowfall at Wolf Creek and possibly at Taos Ski Valey (wildcard).

On Tuesday morning, southwest winds will continue with the San Juan Mountains of southwestern Colorado and the Tusas Mountains near Chama favored. Taos Ski Valley remains the most favored in the Sangre de Cristos with southwest winds focused across the far northern mountains.

I am concerned that warm temperatures on Monday into Tuesday will make it hard to produce meaningful snowfall below 10,000 feet in the northern mountains.

By late Tuesday, the cold front arrives and winds shift to the northwest flow.

The latest National Blend of Models likes chances for 1-2+ feet of snow in the San Juan's around Wolf Creek, 8-12" around Taos Ski Valley, and 6-10" in the highest elevations of the southern Sangres. A light refresh of 1-6" is possible elsewhere in the northern mountains.

Winds will be another major story with gusts over 50 mph on Monday and over 70 mph possible on Tuesday.

The best chances for soft turns should be first chair on Tuesday, last chair on Tuesday, and possibly on Wednesday morning.

Look for my final snowfall forecasts for the February 26-27 storm on Monday.

Extended Forecast

After the February 26-27 storm, we will see dry and warm conditions return for a few days through about March 3rd.

Then we could see a storm around March 4-5, and again in the general March 8-9 timeframe.

History tells us that March and April are usually the snowiest months in El Niño seasons. Let's hope that 2024 follows the script!

I will post again on Monday.

Thanks for reading!

Julien Ross
[email protected]

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About Our Forecaster

Julien Ross

Forecaster

Julien was born and raised in Santa Fe, New Mexico and was introduced to skiing at age 7 through the public schools subsidized ski program at Ski Santa Fe. It was love at first turn and Julien has been chasing deep powder and good mogul lines ever since. Julien grew up fascinated by weather and studied physical geography with a focus on meteorology at Northern Arizona University in Flagstaff.

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