Storm Recap

I'm seeing Mtn. High report an additional 2 inches in the last 24 hours. Snow Valley is saying another 4 - 6 inches and Bear Mtn./Snow Summit reporting 1 - 4 inches. That aligns well with what my forecast from yesterday was for additional snowfall. 

Tuesday - Saturday 

We should see generally calm and clear weather for the next 5 days and beyond.

Here's the OpenSnow forecast for Snow Valley:

Highs will be cold in the low 30's and 20's until Saturday with a warmup into the upper 30's. Overall precipitation chances are quite low though. Winds also stay under 35 MPH throughout this time period. It's a welcome break after all the active weather the last month.

The one chance of snow could be on Thursday but amounts like yesterday are very meager. 

Here's the WPC forecast which sows at most a tenth of an inch in the Big Bear Mtns. 

That would amount to a dusting to an inch or maybe 2 if all the right ingredients aligned. That's what I'm seeing at the moment. If something changes I'll update tomorrow for you all. 

But at least temperatures do stay cold, so the snow pack should be able to fare well through our drier period. 

 

Going into the following week I generally see a dry pattern setting up for us. 

Check out the GFS Ensemble Runs for Big Bear Airport:

Pretty much most members of the model show no precip making it our way until the very end of the month into early February. 

The European Ensemble Mean also shows a similarly dry picture for next week:

Like I said.. dry dry dry... or at least the models are suggesting that now and have been for a while now. 

You can see that the overall pattern favors a more stormy Intermountain West rather than West Coast based on the the position of the trough all of next week:

I'm sure the pattern will break down and go back to a more active one but when exactly I can't say. Could be as early as the beginning of February. 

I'll keep you posted. 

Till the next one... Mike out.