Firstly, Happy Thanksgiving! Writing this quickly since there is lots of good food to be eaten tonight and naps to take. Also, because I’m feeling very pessimistic about the forecast.

Right now the low I talked about on Monday for later this week is moving through the area. It has brought with it snow showers, but right now the radar looks more impressive than what is actually falling. This low should quickly move off to the east tonight leaving most of the area cloudy/foggy but dry for the day tomorrow.

The big storm for us is lining up for Sunday afternoon, with another split system coming in from both the southwest and Canada. Just like the beginning of this week. This low looks to cutoff and hangout over the area through Wednesday evening, leaving an extended period of unsettled weather.

Unfortunately it looks like this time the warm sector will be much stronger and cover a majority of Minnesota and Wisconsin. This will mean that most of the ~1” of moisture coming out of this system will fall as rain. The only exception will be further north along the North Shore where lows could get cold enough on Monday and Tuesday night to switch the precip over to very wet snow for a few hours.

Snowfall forecast through Monday.

Hence my pessimism, 4 days of stormy weather this weekend and next… and very little snow in the forecast.

With the low sitting over the region for most of the week next week, both the European and GFS don’t have another large scale system in the forecast for the next 10 days. They also both have our temperatures staying on the mild side for the start of December.

Regardless, it looks like a clipper system out of Canada could move through in the 10-14 day window brining some more moisture and hopefully snow, but that is reaching way into the forecast for some hope.

Enjoy your holiday!
Andrew