Utah Daily Snow

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By Evan Thayer, Forecaster Posted 3 years ago November 22, 2020

Better Than Nothing

Summary

Two weak waves will move through Utah this week bringing a chance for light refreshers to the mountains. High pressure takes control as we head into December.

Short Term Forecast

Another dry day today (Sunday). We do have a weak system approaching for late Monday and Monday night. We'll see temps cool a bit and a round of snow showers in the high elevations of Utah starting late Monday and continuing into Monday night. 

The NAM is now within range and, as expected, it's not overly impressive: 

Most mountain locations likely will only see a dusting to maybe an inch or two. This system does have a decent NW flow component so orographics may come into play and areas favored in NW flow may do a bit better. This includes LCC and perhaps Eagle Point and Brian Head. Still, probably just a few inches max by midday Tuesday. Still, a light refresher would feel good, eh? 

Then a break Wednesday into early Thursday before another, even weaker wave pushes through. This one could put down another very light refresher of snow late Thursday into Thursday night. It will also bring a reinforcing shot of cold air. 

You can see both waves on the latest GEFS plumes: 

The ensemble mean is barely over 0.5" of liquid combined for both waves, and this is for a favored location (LCC). This just reinforces the idea that we'll likely only see light amounts. 

It would be easy to feel bummed out by these weak "systems", but I suppose looking at the brightside, it's better than having nothing at all. At least we have the opportunity to be surprised. The temperatures will also remain cool/cold, so resorts with snowmaking capabilites can continue to blow snow. 

Extended Forecast

A pattern change is coming. Unfortunately, it's not in a good way this time. We are going to go from a pattern that is cool and fairly dry, to one that is very dry and warm. High pressure is progged to take control around the end of the month and we should be blocked and warm as we head into December: 

At this point, I do NOT see this pattern breaking down anytime soon. Hopefully we start to see something in the long-range models that indicates this ridge doesn't stick around for too long. 

Evan | OpenSnow

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About Our Forecaster

Evan Thayer

Forecaster

To Evan, 'The Greatest Snow on Earth' is more than just a motto - it’s a way of life. In 2010, he started Wasatch Snow Forecast as a way to share the best powder days with his fellow snow-lovers. Evan brings the same quality forecasts and weather discussions to OpenSnow and hopes you enjoy skiing/riding Utah as much as he does.

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