It's 3 AM and I'm sick and can't sleep -- so what else can I do but write a forecast? Quite a bit to discuss today...

First, we have a very weak, decaying system that will brush northern Utah. It's a similar setup to what we saw on Wednesday of this past week, but this one maybe be even weaker. Main impact will be clouds increasing today (Saturday) with a chance for some light snow showers this afternoon. As for accumulation, I don't expect much more than a trace. 

We should have a mostly clear Sunday before the next storm arrives during the day on Monday. This storm continues to look low-end moderate. Here is the total NBM precip through Tuesday:

It's going to focus on the Wasatch and western Uintas with mountain areas looking to get generally 0.4-0.8" of liquid. When we switch this to snow:

I think the most likely outcome is 5-10" for the high elevations. There will be cold air, so it should be fluffy snow. Valleys could even see a little bit of accumulation. 

We should mostly have a break Tuesday through at least Thursday. A storm will be dropping down the west coast by Thursday and starting to impact the coast on Friday. This storm is digging to our west and will eventually move inland but it looks like it's going to arrive a bit later than we thought a couple of days ago. This is due to that digging. This means the storm may not focus its best precip on us, but it will tap into Pacific moisture and will be more beneficial overall for the west. Here is a loop of this storm in the latest Euro dropping down the coast and sending waves of AR moisture into the coast next weekend:

This is over a week out, but most models show some version of this. Also, the ensemble mean heights show a favorable setup for an extended AR event:

Sometimes AR events have warm subtropical origins that can lead to dense snow, but it looks like we will have decent cold air for this one. It's something we need to keep an eye on as it could impact Utah and much of the west in the December 2-6 timeframe. 

Evan | OpenSnow