Utah Daily Snow

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By Evan Thayer, Forecaster Posted 1 month ago February 21, 2024

Flow Switch Today, Break, Then Another Storm Next Week

Summary

Continued snow showers today into tonight with the flow switching from southwest to northwest over the day. We dry out with a break Thursday through the weekend. Another, colder storm continues to look likely for early next week.

Short Term Forecast

We continued to see off and on snowfall yesterday and overnight last night. As is usually the case with loosely organized moisture in a southwest flow, there were some good totals and some not so good totals. Generally speaking, the best totals were north of I-80, as we saw a band of snow lift north yesterday evening before stalling for much of the night. Therefore, Cherry Peak is the overall winner in the past 24 hours with 12" of new snow. Beaver Mountain with 8". Nordic Valley 8". Powder Mountain 7". Snowbasin 5". 

Farther south, Deer Valley which is favored in a SW flow did well with 7" of new snow:

Solitude and Brighton also reporting 7" of new snow in BCC. LCC and Park City, however, showing lower amounts with 3-4" in the past 24 hours. They were the only places that didn't make it to the 5-10" forecast from yesterday. Womp womp wooomp...

Alta-Collins did, however, pick up 0.77" of liquid over the past 24 hours, so that 3-4" is probably largely graupel. 

Down south, Eagle Point picked up 9" of new snow with 7" at Brian Head. 

Overall, the storm total forecast was 10-20" from Monday through Wednesday night, and so far, we are all in the 7-20" range. I think with today's showers we should pretty much all meet, or exceed, the forecast. 

Speaking of showers today... Southwest flow continues this morning with hit or miss showers over the Wasatch. This flow will turn northwesterly with the passage of a cold front later this morning. This will also usher in cooler air and dropping snow levels. Also, better ratios are expected. There's not too much organized precip with this front and what we do get over the next 24 hours is likely to be showery. In general, it looks like another 0.25-0.5" of liquid with 3-6" of additional snow for the high elevations through Thursday morning. 

We then see a break with clearing on Thursday and that should continue through the weekend with mild temperatures. It's going to feel like spring just a bit. 

Extended Forecast

We snap back to reality by Monday with another storm dropping in. This is the cold trough out of the northwest that phases in with a low off the California coast. All signs point to a good storm. GEFS ensembles show a mean of about 2" of total precip for Brighton with this system:

Then, the Euro ensembles also show good agreement on a system that packs a punch:

Notice a lot of yellows and oranges in that vertical column. That means high QPF in a relatively short window. With cold air and good ratios, we could be looking at a good storm. We will keep watching! 

Evan | OpenSnow

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About Our Forecaster

Evan Thayer

Forecaster

To Evan, 'The Greatest Snow on Earth' is more than just a motto - it’s a way of life. In 2010, he started Wasatch Snow Forecast as a way to share the best powder days with his fellow snow-lovers. Evan brings the same quality forecasts and weather discussions to OpenSnow and hopes you enjoy skiing/riding Utah as much as he does.

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