Sunday was sunny and comfortable with a high temperature in the mid-20s.

On Sunday night, the 95% illuminated moon lit up the landscape, with just a few clouds to spoil the party.

Monday will start dry and partly cloudy with a few midday snow showers, then on Monday night, the next storm will bring a period of intense snow between about midnight and sunrise on Tuesday morning.

The snow total early on Tuesday morning should be in the 1-3 inch range, and then we'll see an additional 1-2 inches of snow during the day on Tuesday. These totals are a little higher than my previous forecasts as the latest models have all increased snow totals. Also, the jet stream will be overhead during parts of this storm, and this will create the potential for narrow bands of intense snow to form near the mountain. If any of these bands hit the mountain, snow totals will be higher than expected, though the latest forecast data continues to show that the highest likelihood for these higher snow totals will stay to the west of Winter Park.

If you're heading out on Tuesday to catch some fresh snow, dress warmly as the temperature will stay in the 5-10°F range during the day.

Following the storm on Tuesday, we'll see dry and mostly sunny weather on Wednesday with a high temperature in the 20s, and then we'll have just a few more clouds on Thursday, Friday, and Saturday with a high temperature in the 30s on all three days.

Looking further ahead, the longer-range forecast has taken a turn for the better. All major models now show a high likelihood of stormy weather starting around Sunday, November 24, or Monday, November 25, with potential snow continuing throughout most of Thanksgiving week. That is still too far away (7+ days) to fine-tune the forecast, so check back as we'll work to refine the outlook and hope to hone in on one or more early season powder days.

My next update will be on Tuesday morning.

Thanks for reading!

JOEL GRATZ
Meteorologist at OpenSnow.com

Snow conditions as of Monday morning

New snow mid-mountain:
* 0” (24 hours Sunday 500am to Monday 500am)
* 0” (Overnight Sunday 500pm to Monday 500am)

Last snowfall:
* 5” Tuesday night (Nov 12-13)

Terrain
* 7 of 24 lifts
* 13 of 171 trails
* Latest update

Snowpack compared to the 30-year average:
* 109%