Temperatures remain cold over the next few days (and truthfully for far longer than that). We could still see flakes in the air in the mountains on and off due to that northwest flow. The first storm moves into the region on Thursday evening directly from the west but will then pivot and we will get flow from the southwest. Temperatures look pretty darn incredible for this entire series of storms! I absolutely love not having to forecast snow levels. 

As far as totals.... that is a bit tricky. The GFS and its short range ensembles have about 0.7 inches of liquid which on a 15:1 slr (snow/liquid ratio) would come out to right around 10 inches of snow. The Euro and Canadian models are not nearly as impressed with this storm and show only around 0.4 inches of liquid. I am going to take the weighted average of all 3 models and go with 0.5 inches of liquid. This would give us right around 6-8 inches up at Tamarack and Brundage. I usually shoot with a bit less at Bogus and along the Boise ridge, but I really do think if that southwest flow kicks in they could get similar numbers as the northern locations. Let's go with 6-8 inches there as well. The storm will wind down by Friday mid-day and it should be a great day for riding!

The next storm moves in very early Saturday morning and will last through Sunday and into the day on Monday. There are definitely still some details to iron out about this storm. I will say that it looks to be a pretty strong storm and temperatures look good, albeit a bit warmer than our storm on Thursday/Friday. The GFS has about an inch of liquid predicted at all resorts. The Euro a bit less at about 0.75 inches. I will obviously keep you updated as the models come into more alignment. 

As you can tell from the graphic above the GFS is really pretty bullish over the next 5 or so days. Love to see it! The plumes down below show just how bullish with the means anywhere between 20 and 30 inches of snow in total at Big Creek summit.

Again, I think these are a bit overdone. Especially for our first storm on Thursday night. But it is nice to see and who knows? Ullr giveth and he taketh away. 

Looks like we will dry out after this series of storms, though we should stay much colder than average. In fact, if you look at the Euro Ensemble down below most of the US goes into the deep freeze. 

While we all want to see new snow in the forecast as much as possible, it is nice to know that even if we don't get anything conditions will still be prime. 

Both extended range models we use are showing increased chances for precip around the end of the month. Let's see what happens! Obviously this isn't gospel truth and things can quickly change.

Obviously new snow on top of an already reactive snowpack will create even more headaches. Keep an eye on your avalanche centers!

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