Mammoth Daily Snow
By Mike Korotkin, Meteorologist Posted 1 year ago December 6, 2022
A Quick Break
Summary
Tuesday through Thursday should be much calmer and clearer days. The next storm likely comes in Friday into Friday night and another round of snowfall comes in Saturday into Saturday night. The snow could continue to fall Sunday into Monday, December 12th.
Short Term Forecast
Tuesday - Thursday
Calm, clear conditions for Tuesday - Thursday. Temps will be cool in the mid to low 20's on the mtn with lows in the teens and single digits. Winds should stay light through Wednesday. Thursday they begin to ramp up 30 to 50 MPH out of the West Southwest.
Friday - Sunday
Oh boy... lots of action during these days. The first storm on Thursday night into Friday looks to miss our region almost entirely. There is a chance we could see some snow showers on Friday but the main storm is likely to come in later Friday night into Saturday.
That storm could continue into Sunday at this time. That is outside of the 5 day window but I will touch on amounts briefly. The big caveat is right now, there is not a lot of model agreement on amounts at all. The GFS is definitely wetter than the Euro. But really, it's more about the overall track of this system and how much warm air it could trap into itself, similar to the last storm.
It willl be plenty cold starting Friday and continuing through Sunday with strong winds especially on Saturday and Sunday. Gusts up to 90 MPH are not out of the question Saturday afternoon out of the West Southwest.
Temps will be in the low 20's and teens throughout the weekend.
Amounts will likely be multi foot totals once more. My initial forecast is for 16 - 20 inches at Main Lodge with 24 - 30 inches over the summit.
This is my initial estimate and it's very subject to tweaking as the exact track of this system is very important not only for snow levels and snow ratios but also for the amount of moisture.
Extended Forecast
The pattern wants to stay active going into next week. More snow is possible Monday into Wednesday with even more showing up on Thursday.
the issue is that the not all the models are on board a full on trough over the west and some hint at the possibility of the trough weakening so the storms might turn into inside sliders instead. We'll have to see how things pan out but there's more snow coming this week to keep us busy.