Thursday - Saturday 

We have a couple more days of nicer weather. Today, Thursday will be mild with highs in the upper 30's at the base and low 30's on the summit. Winds should be calmer as well and only gusting up to 25 MPH out of the Southwest. 

The weak storm I've mentioned all week for Friday continues to stay weak and our odds of seeing measurable snowfall are basically zero. But a stray snow shower is possible Friday morning that may drop a dusting. Winds definitely increase between Thursday afternoon and Friday morning with gusts up to 60 MPH out of the Southwest by Friday morning so morning lift operations may be affected. 

Temps cool down into the low 20's up on the mtn and near 30 by the base for Friday. Saturday the real storm begins to affect our weather with more clouds during the day and increasing winds by the afternoon over the summit. We do quickly warm up as warm air from the Southwest enters the region and brings our high temp up into the mid 30's again at the base. 

The winds really ramp up Saturday though with summit gusts approaching 60 MPH during the day and getting even stronger at night. They will continue to be out of the Southwest. 

Saturday Night - Sunday Snow

Our storm is still on track and I'm liking the overall trends for this storm. Plenty of cold air with it and good forcing should make for a solid 18+ hour heavy snowfall event. 

The snow starts falling Saturday evening and will continue through Sunday late afternoon. Winds will be very strong on Saturday night gusting up to 80+ MPH and should continue to stay strong on Sunday with gusts up to 50 MPH in the morning out of the West Southwest. 

Temps will drop as the cold front swings through so overnight lows will be in the teens and Sunday's highs will be in the teens on the summit and low 20's at Main Lodge. 

Snow levels will start in the 5K FT range Saturday evening and drop to 3K FT by Sunday evening, so there will be no issues with rain on this storm. 

Snowfall Forecast

My snowfall forecast is staying the same from yesterday. We should see 8 - 12 inches at Main Lodge and 10 - 15 inches for the summit by Monday morning.

I believe most of that will fall overnight Saturday with lighter snow falling throughout the day on Sunday. Given the winds, the best skiing is likely to be Sunday later in the afternoon once the winds subside a bit. 

With the exception of a weak system that could drop a dusting on Tuesday night, February 7th into Wednesday, February 8th I don't think we'll see any active weather for a 5 - 6 day stretch after our storm clears out Sunday night. 

The models are showing a pretty dry period for us all of the 2nd week of February with a change in the pattern looking to start at the end of the 2nd week of February going into the 3rd week. 

This pattern does not look overly wet and there's a good chance the cold and drier storm track will be favored. But any fresh snow is better than being totally dry. I'll keep you posted as this pattern evolves and we get through another drier stretch. 

Till the next one... Mike out. 

Fresh Tracks!

This week we talk about Where the Snow Is Headed as we reach the Mid-Point of Winter, catch up with Powder Chaser Stever to see Where He is Chasing Snow, check in with Zach Butler to see What the Heck is Going On with the Northeast's Winter, report the 5-Day Snowfall Totals around the U.S., look at the Snowfall Forecast for The Upcoming Week, and discuss The Long-Range Snowfall Patterns!